- The Rangers are + favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+) on Wednesday, May 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Diamondbacks vs Rangers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 16-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 17-12 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | + + | O + | + |
| Rangers | + + | U + | + |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+13.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games at home (+10.00 Units / 143% ROI)
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ketel Marte | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ketel Marte | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 66% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.80 Units / 30% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 17-13 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 8.24% ROI).
- 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 14.14% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 2.26% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -10.17% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 17-12 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 11.85% ROI).
- 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 11.96% ROI
- 18-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 21.63% ROI
- 10-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.95 Units / -31.05% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has struck out 33% (109/327) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has a strikeout rate of 53% (136 SO in 255 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .157 (11-for-70) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (280/835) against Andrew Heaney since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Diamondbacks are just 114-23 (.832) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Diamondbacks are just 103-33 (.757) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Diamondbacks are just 37-20 (.649) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .810.
The Diamondbacks are just 18-9 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rangers are just 36-33 (.522) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Rangers are just 1-90 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rangers are just 71-13 (.845) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are 49-14 (.778) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .298 (863 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 53 walks in 735 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .221 with two outs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .301 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Rangers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Rangers have scored 83 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.
The Rangers are batting .342 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 114 of 1,119 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 662 of 7,218 batters (9%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 159 of 1,698 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 0% of the time this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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