- The Diamondbacks are -110 favorites vs the Rockies
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry
- Rockies starting pitcher: Noah Davis
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-110) on Saturday, April 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 15-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 9-18 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | O 12.5 -115 | -110 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -160 | U 12.5 -105 | -110 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Josh Rojas | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christian Walker | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Henry | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+7.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+5.45 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.20 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.15 Units / 62% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 16-11 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 10.32% ROI).
- 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 21.72% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -7.51% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.17% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 9-18 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -33.72% ROI).
- 8-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -27.69% ROI
- 11-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -22.37% ROI
- 16-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 15.12% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tommy Henry has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to September 7th, 2022 — Corey Kluber has the longest active streak at 7.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (18/27) against Noah Davis this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (16/90) against Noah Davis this season — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Noah Davis has located his fastballs down 48% of the time (42/87) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Noah Davis has allowed a slugging percentage of just .243 (9 Total Bases / 37 ABs) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .419 — 96th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 17-9 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Diamondbacks are just 102-33 (.756) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Diamondbacks are just 64-17 (.790) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Diamondbacks are just 31-163 (.160) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 47-27 (.635) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Rockies are just 15-52 (.224) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Rockies are just 37-36 (.507) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rockies are just 8-20 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,025 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .371 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 15 walks in 336 PA’s (4%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .667 (2,025 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies have won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .344 (3,524 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .188 against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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