- The Diamondbacks are -130 favorites vs the Rockies
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Sunday, April 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 16-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 9-19 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +115 | O 12 -115 | -130 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -140 | U 12 -105 | +110 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 64.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Randal Grichuk | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| C.J. Cron | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Christian Walker | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -165 |
| Ryne Nelson | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.30 Units / 93% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.15 Units / 45% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 17-11 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 14.11% ROI).
- 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 24.18% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -4.03% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -3.58% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 9-19 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -37.15% ROI).
- 8-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -30.54% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -18.44% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 10.74% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 15% (17 SO in 116 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has not walked any of the 66 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 12% (6/50) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 15% (4 SO in 27 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — eighth Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (26/65) against Austin Gomber on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (50/104) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.021 (154 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .719 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (36/111) against Austin Gomber with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 114-23 (.832) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Diamondbacks are just 103-33 (.757) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Diamondbacks are just 18-9 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Diamondbacks are just 65-17 (.793) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 15-53 (.221) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Rockies are just 8-20 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 37-36 (.507) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rockies are just 25-13 (.658) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against starting pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Diamondbacks are batting .207 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies have won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 109 of 1,042 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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