Diamondbacks vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 28, 2022, 9:52 AM
  • The White Sox (63-64) are -190 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (58-67)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-4), 3.85 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (12-6), 2.26 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+155) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-190) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Diamondbacks vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 57-65 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 55-70 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -135O 7.5 -110+155
White Sox -1.5 +110U 7.5 -110-190

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 43 of his last 86 games (+17.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 57 of his last 86 games (+11.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.00 Units / 27% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 57 of his last 84 games (+26.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 60 of his last 86 games (+20.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 48 of his last 63 games at home (+17.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 48 of his last 86 games (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 47 games (+21.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 38 away games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 68 of their last 127 games (+12.60 Units / 9% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 71-51 against the Run Line (+17.5 Units / 11.17% ROI).

  • 57-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -1.63% ROI
  • 55-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -9.77% ROI
  • 62-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.26% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 55-70 against the Run Line (-16.6 Units / -11.12% ROI).

  • 62-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -9.79% ROI
  • 56-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -6.31% ROI
  • 60-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -0.72% ROI

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 71% of the time (304/430) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 21% (235/1,097) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 34% of Zach Davies’ fastballs (769/2,227) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Zach Davies had a strike rate of just 54% (45/84) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.

Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (407/1,141) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (76/191) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has struck out 36% (106/295) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (104/248) against Dylan Cease with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Diamondbacks are just 99-30 (.767) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 110-19 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 42-11 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The White Sox are just 5-48 (.094) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The White Sox are just 5-54 (.085) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The White Sox are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The White Sox are 83-14 (.856) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .279 (555 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 39% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of .339 (2,579 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (262 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.

The White Sox are batting .371 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The White Sox have won just 50% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Knee, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.