Dodgers vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2023, 11:15 AM
  • The Angels are -120 favorites vs the Dodgers
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
  • Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
  • Watch the game on BSW

The Los Angeles Dodgers (+100) visit Tempe Diablo Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-120) on Friday, March 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Tempe.

The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Dodgers vs Angels Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Dodgers are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 3-3 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers+1.5 -190O 10.5 +100+100
Angels -1.5 +155U 10.5 -120-120

Dodgers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Hanser Alberto has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Edwin Rios has hit the RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Edwin Rios has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+3.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 82 games (+12.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 83 away games (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 81 games at home (+16.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -15.18% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -11.11% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.29% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -22.22% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 3-3 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 4.51% ROI).

  • 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 21.25% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -5.93% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -3.08% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .122 (49-for-402) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 39% (59/151) against Tony Gonsolin on the first pitch of at-bats last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin allowed an OPS of just .369 (310 PA’s) on non-fastballs last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .638 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .201 (81 Total Bases / 402 ABs) on non-fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .363 — 100th Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Anderson allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.9 MPH (493 batted balls) last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.3 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters swung at 69% of Tyler Anderson’s pitches (510/742) with two-strikes last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.9 MPH last season (493 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 88.6

Hitters have swung at 68% of Tyler Anderson’s pitches (1,063/1,554) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Dodgers are 100-20 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.

The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 3-68 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Angels are just 8-55 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Angels are just 8-38 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,666 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.

The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (909 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Angels hitters struck out 1,103 times in 4,134 PA’s (27%) against RHP last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of the 2021 season (7,469 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Angels pitchers have walked 1,132 of 12,234 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Angels vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.