- The Braves are -210 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Watch the game on TBS
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+170) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-210) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Dodgers vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 30-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 20-27 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -115 | O 8 +100 | +170 |
| Braves | -1.5 -105 | U 8 -120 | -210 |
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 80.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+12.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 47 games (+12.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+12.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+4.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+1.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 27-22 against the Run Line (+8.8 Units / 16.1% ROI).
- 30-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.88% ROI
- 27-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 7.38% ROI
- 21-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -15.36% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 20-27 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -11.41% ROI).
- 29-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 6.32% ROI
- 28-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 16.49% ROI
- 18-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units / -25.19% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (193/483) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has struck out 43% (46/107) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 45% (103/228) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 45% (24 SO in 53 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 35-19 (.648) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Dodgers are 23-10 (.697) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Dodgers are 51-19 (.729) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Dodgers are 12-4 (.750) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 8-8 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Braves are 27-20 (.574) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 93 total hits (52%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Dodgers hitters have 112 extra-base hits out of 227 total hits (49%) in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .574 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .945 (531 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .822 (2,169 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Braves hitters are slugging .476 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 545 of 7,689 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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