Dodgers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 24, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Braves are -120 favorites vs the Dodgers
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
  • Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Dodgers (+100) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-120) on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Dodgers vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 31-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 20-28 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers+1.5 -190O 9.5 -120+100
Braves -1.5 +155U 9.5 +100-120

Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 55.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+12.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+11.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)

Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Max Muncy 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Will Smith 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Matt Olson 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Max Muncy 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Will Smith 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Matt Olson 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Max Muncy 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Will Smith 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Matt Olson 0.5 +115 0.5 -150

Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Elder 4.5 +115 4.5 -150
Tony Gonsolin 4.5 +105 4.5 -140
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+13.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+13.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+2.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 28-22 against the Run Line (+9.8 Units / 17.53% ROI).

  • 31-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 3.06% ROI
  • 28-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 9.03% ROI
  • 21-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -16.99% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 20-28 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -13.01% ROI).

  • 29-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 3.61% ROI
  • 29-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units / 18.03% ROI
  • 18-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.2 Units / -26.67% ROI

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .172 this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 (92-for-543) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .523 (215 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .758 — 98th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OBP of just .225 (311 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 97th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Elder has located his fastballs down 46% of the time (179/393) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (53/84) against Bryce Elder this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .154 (16-for-104) against Bryce Elder’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (83/148) against Bryce Elder this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Dodgers are 36-19 (.655) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

The Dodgers are 25-11 (.694) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

The Dodgers are 51-19 (.729) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .542.

The Dodgers are 93-47 (.664) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Braves are 11-4 (.733) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Braves are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are just 4-10 (.286) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Braves are 27-21 (.562) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.

Dodgers hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 93 total hits (52%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .775 (2,501 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .301 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Braves hitters are slugging .571 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .939 (534 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .747.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .821 (2,172 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Braves hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Dodgers have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 547 of 7,723 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 25% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Braves pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 17% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
  • Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Urías (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.