- The Braves are -120 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+100) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-120) on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Dodgers vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 31-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 20-28 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dodgers | +1.5 -190 | O 9.5 -120 | +100 |
Braves | -1.5 +155 | U 9.5 +100 | -120 |
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 55.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+12.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+11.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)
Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Max Muncy | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Will Smith | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Matt Olson | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Max Muncy | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Will Smith | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Max Muncy | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Will Smith | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Matt Olson | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryce Elder | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Tony Gonsolin | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+13.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+13.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+2.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 28-22 against the Run Line (+9.8 Units / 17.53% ROI).
- 31-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 3.06% ROI
- 28-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 9.03% ROI
- 21-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -16.99% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 20-28 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -13.01% ROI).
- 29-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 3.61% ROI
- 29-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units / 18.03% ROI
- 18-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.2 Units / -26.67% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .172 this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (92-for-543) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .523 (215 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .758 — 98th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OBP of just .225 (311 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 97th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has located his fastballs down 46% of the time (179/393) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (53/84) against Bryce Elder this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .154 (16-for-104) against Bryce Elder’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (83/148) against Bryce Elder this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 36-19 (.655) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Dodgers are 25-11 (.694) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Dodgers are 51-19 (.729) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Dodgers are 93-47 (.664) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 11-4 (.733) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Braves are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are just 4-10 (.286) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Braves are 27-21 (.562) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 93 total hits (52%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .775 (2,501 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .301 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .571 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .939 (534 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .821 (2,172 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Braves hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 547 of 7,723 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 25% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 17% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
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