- The Dodgers are -165 favorites vs the Brewers
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+140) on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Dodgers vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 22-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 17-19 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | O 9 -165 | -165 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -120 | U 9 +140 | +140 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+10.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 27 games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Brewers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 8.5 +150 | 8.5 -200 |
| Wade Miley | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+3.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.20 Units / 7% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 19-18 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 6.87% ROI).
- 22-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -3.22% ROI
- 20-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 6.11% ROI
- 16-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -13.81% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 17-19 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -3.81% ROI).
- 20-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 3.93% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -14.09% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 3.74% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
10 of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 48% (70/146) against Clayton Kershaw on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 61% of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitches (235/385) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 61% of Clayton Kershaw’s non-fastballs (235/386) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 13% (11/85) against Wade Miley this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (381/683) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (10/80) against Wade Miley on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Wade Miley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (22/49) — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Dodgers are 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Dodgers are 131-57 (.697) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Dodgers are 32-23 (.582) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Dodgers are 132-66 (.667) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Brewers are 14-1 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .851.
The Brewers are 6-77 (.072) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Brewers are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Brewers are just 11-42 (.208) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Dodgers are batting just .204 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (5,550 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Dodgers hitters have 134 extra-base hits out of 282 total hits (47%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .322 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Brewers hitters have 99 strikeouts in 323 PA’s (31%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .272 (323 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Brewers are batting just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 57% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 44% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 509 of 7,238 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Brewers pitchers have allowed 250 barreled balls since last season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Brewers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Back, D10
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