Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 09, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Dodgers are -120 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+100) on Tuesday, May 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).

The Dodgers vs Brewers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 21-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 17-18 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +130O 9.5 -110-120
Brewers +1.5 -155U 9.5 -110+100

Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 26 games (+7.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Luke Voit has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 59% ROI)

Brewers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Will Smith 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jesse Winker 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Christian Yelich 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Brewers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Will Smith 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jesse Winker 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Christian Yelich 0.5 -250 0.5 +180

Brewers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Will Smith 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Jesse Winker 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Christian Yelich 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Brewers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Noah Syndergaard 3.5 -165 3.5 +125
Eric Lauer 4.5 -160 4.5 +120
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 18-18 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 3.83% ROI).

  • 21-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -5.07% ROI
  • 20-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 9.03% ROI
  • 15-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -16.73% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 17-18 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.36% ROI).

  • 20-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 6.24% ROI
  • 16-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -11.69% ROI
  • 18-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 1.19% ROI

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 39 stolen bases since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 7 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 32 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .588 (10-for-17) against Noah Syndergaard in close and late situations since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 34% of Eric Lauer’s breaking pitches (204/605) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Eric Lauer has thrown his cutter 35% of the time (54/156) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total CUT; League Avg: 15% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (25/91) against Eric Lauer this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (11/38) against Eric Lauer in two-strike counts this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Dodgers are 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Dodgers are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Dodgers are 32-23 (.582) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

The Dodgers are 131-57 (.697) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Brewers are 9-5 (.643) when underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Brewers are 20-12 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 6-77 (.072) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Brewers are 23-29 (.442) when underdogs since last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (5,525 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (5,525 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 99 double plays in 1,448 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Brewers are batting just .221 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters have 536 strikeouts in 2,026 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (315 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .610 (315 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .744.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 506 of 7,203 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

The Dodgers have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have 36 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for fewest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
  • Luis Urías (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
  • Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
  • Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Back, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.