Dodgers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 19, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Dodgers are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Dodgers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 28-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 21-24 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +135O 8.5 +100-120
Cardinals +1.5 -165U 8.5 -120+100

Dodgers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+9.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+9.15 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+13.45 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+10.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.95 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.55 Units / 66% ROI)

Cardinals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +500 0.5 -1200
Max Muncy 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Will Smith 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Cardinals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Max Muncy 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Will Smith 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Cardinals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Max Muncy 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Will Smith 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Cardinals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Steven Matz 4.5 -130 4.5 +100
Tony Gonsolin 4.5 -105 4.5 -120
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+10.35 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+4.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.40 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 24-21 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 13.03% ROI).

  • 28-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.93% ROI
  • 24-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 4% ROI
  • 20-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -11.91% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 21-24 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -9.97% ROI).

  • 19-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -25.29% ROI
  • 22-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -2.62% ROI
  • 21-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -6.48% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .133 (45-for-339) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .173 (91-for-527) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .537 (574 PA’s) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .707 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .251 (57-for-227) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 99th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .333 (26-for-78) against Steven Matz’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .268 (26-for-97) against Steven Matz with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — third Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .341 (46-for-135) against Steven Matz this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — third Percentile.

Steven Matz has allowed an OPS of .815 (106 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .501 — first Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Dodgers are 23-10 (.697) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

The Dodgers are 7-56 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.

The Dodgers are just 2-5 (.286) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Dodgers are 92-45 (.672) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cardinals are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Cardinals are 20-5 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Cardinals are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

Dodgers hitters have 43 extra-base hits out of 81 total hits (53%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (5,761 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Dodgers hitters have 165 extra-base hits out of 345 total hits (48%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .801 (1,776 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Cardinals hitters have 295 extra-base hits out of 699 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Cardinals are batting .259 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 530 of 7,546 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 123 of 1,681 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Dodgers have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Dodgers have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Cardinals have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
  • Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Abdomen, Day-to-Day
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.