- The Mets (82-48) are -150 favorites vs the Dodgers (90-38)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (13-2), 2.68 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom (3-1), 2.14 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-150) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Dodgers vs Mets Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 88-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 70-57 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -175 | O 6.5 +105 | +125 |
| Mets | -1.5 +145 | U 6.5 -125 | -150 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 65 games (+15.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 47 of his last 67 away games (+14.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 51 of his last 77 games (+13.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+12.80 Units / 33% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 31 games (+19.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 32 games at home (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+12.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| James McCann | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 -115 |
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -175 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 124 games (+10.18 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 130 games (+14.77 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+2.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 77-48 against the Run Line (+25.9 Units / 17.23% ROI).
- 88-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 4.57% ROI
- 51-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.8 Units / -15.11% ROI
- 65-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 6.18% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 70-57 against the Run Line (+13.95 Units / 8.92% ROI).
- 81-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.3 Units / 9.16% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -8.47% ROI
Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 24% of the time (307/1,261) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .163 (28 Total Bases / 172 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 93rd Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (146/558) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 34% of the time (1,283/3,716) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .155 (103 PA’s) this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has struck out 49% (23/47) of left-handed batters he faced this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (632/1,528) against Jacob deGrom since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 45% (46 SO in 103 PAs) this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 45-22 (.672) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Dodgers are 23-81 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 115-63 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are 37-9 (.804) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Mets are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 28-6 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Mets are 71-3 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .777 (3,372 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .796 (3,520 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (1,500 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (3,520 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 680 strikeouts in 3,433 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,433 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mets have scored first in 72% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .266 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (1307.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,660 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (1575.1 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.00 runs per game (201/67) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have walked 158 of 2,543 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mets pitchers have walked 68 of 1,158 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
- Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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