Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 31, 2022, 11:28 AM
  • The Mets (82-48) are -150 favorites vs the Dodgers (90-38)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (13-2), 2.68 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom (3-1), 2.14 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Dodgers (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-150) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Dodgers vs Mets Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 88-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 70-57 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers+1.5 -175O 6.5 +105+125
Mets -1.5 +145U 6.5 -125-150

Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 65 games (+15.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 47 of his last 67 away games (+14.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 51 of his last 77 games (+13.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+12.80 Units / 33% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 31 games (+19.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 32 games at home (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+12.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)

Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Darin Ruf 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
James McCann 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -300 0.5 +195
Darin Ruf 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
James McCann 0.5 -145 0.5 +100

Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Darin Ruf 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
James McCann 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jacob deGrom 8.5 -120 8.5 -115
Tyler Anderson 4.5 +125 4.5 -175
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 124 games (+10.18 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 130 games (+14.77 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+2.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 77-48 against the Run Line (+25.9 Units / 17.23% ROI).

  • 88-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 4.57% ROI
  • 51-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.8 Units / -15.11% ROI
  • 65-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 6.18% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 70-57 against the Run Line (+13.95 Units / 8.92% ROI).

  • 81-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.3 Units / 9.16% ROI
  • 63-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI
  • 57-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -8.47% ROI

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 24% of the time (307/1,261) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .163 (28 Total Bases / 172 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 93rd Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (146/558) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 34% of the time (1,283/3,716) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .155 (103 PA’s) this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has struck out 49% (23/47) of left-handed batters he faced this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (632/1,528) against Jacob deGrom since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 45% (46 SO in 103 PAs) this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are 45-22 (.672) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Dodgers are 23-81 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Dodgers are 115-63 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets are 37-9 (.804) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Mets are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 28-6 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Mets are 71-3 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .777 (3,372 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .796 (3,520 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (1,500 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (3,520 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Mets hitters have just 680 strikeouts in 3,433 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,433 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

The Mets have scored first in 72% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .266 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .220.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (1307.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,660 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (1575.1 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.

The Dodgers have allowed 3.00 runs per game (201/67) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets pitchers have walked 158 of 2,543 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Mets pitchers have walked 68 of 1,158 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
  • Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.