Dolphins vs 49ers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 2

An exterior of Levi's Stadium is shown before an NFL preseason football game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Chargers in Santa Clara, Calif., Thursday, Aug. 29, 2019. (AP Photo/Tony Avelar)
(AP Photo/Tony Avelar)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • The 49ers are -12.5 point favorites vs the Dolphins
  • Total (Over/Under): 46 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Miami Dolphins (0-1-0) visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the San Francisco 49ers (1-0-0) on Sep. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 pm in Santa Clara, CA.

The 49ers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-130).

The Dolphins vs. 49ers Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

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Dolphins vs. 49ers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dolphins+12.5 -10246 -125+700
49ers – 12.5 -13046 -105-1000

Dolphins vs. 49ers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this game with 75.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Dolphins vs 49ers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the 49ers will cover the spread with 67.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today

  • Ollie Gordon II has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Devon Achane has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Devon Achane has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Ollie Gordon II has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Greg Dulcich has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for 49ers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best 49ers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jake Tonges has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Longest Rush Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Kyle Juszczyk has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brock Purdy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Dolphins

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Christian McCaffrey -220
De'Von Achane +105
Kaelon Black +140
Mike Evans +150
George Kittle +175
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 away games (+2.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+4.00 Units / 12% ROI)

Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins are 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Dolphins are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Dolphins are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • DolphinsDolphinsDolphins are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers are 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 49ers are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 170% ROI
  • 49ers are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 49ers are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers

Dolphins are 3-10 (.231) when allowing 10 or more rushes of 4+ yards (T-7th-worst in NFL) and .800 when allowing 1ess than 10 plays of 4+ yards rushing since the 2025 season (T-9th-best in NFL).

Dolphins are 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns (T-4th-best in NFL) and just .167 when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2025 season (T-4th-worst in NFL).

The Dolphins were 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns (6th-best in NFL) and just .182 when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season (T-6th-worst in NFL).

The Dolphins are undefeated (3-0) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .656.

San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins

The 49ers are undefeated (8-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .653.

The 49ers were 8-1 (.889) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — T-best in NFL. The Dolphins turned the ball over 25 times last season — 4th-most in NFL.

The 49ers are 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .587.

The 49ers are undefeated (4-0) after a loss since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .413.

Additional Matchup Notes for Miami Dolphins vs. San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers have been successful on 53.5% of pass attempts since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed a success rate of 52.1% on pass attempts since the 2025 season — worst in NFL.

The 49ers have been successful on 53.2% of pass attempts with motion since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed a success rate of 51.3% on pass attempts against motion since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The 49ers have been successful on 54.4% of plays they have run on play action passes since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed a success rate of 53.7% on play action passes since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Dolphins were successful on just 27.8% of pass attempts with motion last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The 49ers allowed a success rate of just 22.2% on pass attempts against motion last week — T-3rd-best in NFL.

The Dolphins were successful on just 33.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The 49ers allowed a success rate of just 29.4% on pass attempts on their own side of the field last week — 4th-best in NFL.

The Dolphins are 5-1 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2025 season — T-9th-best in NFL. The 49ers have intercepted 7 passes since the 2025 season — 4th-fewest in NFL.

Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats

The Dolphins ran successful plays on 30% of plays in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 30% of plays in the 3rd quarter since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Dolphins have averaged -0.83 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.50.

The Dolphins ran successful plays on 20% of plays in the 2nd half in Week 1 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats

The 49ers have run 62% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The 49ers have run 57% of their plays in their opponent’s territory since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The 49ers ran 57% of their plays in their opponent’s territory last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The 49ers have run successful plays on 65% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats

The Dolphins defense allowed successful plays on 8% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Dolphins defense allowed successful plays on 61% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Dolphins defense did not sack opposing QBs on any of 30 pass attempts in Week 1 — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats

The 49ers defense has averaged a sack every 31.6 pass attempts (632 Pass Attempts/20 Sacks) since the 2025 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.6.

The 49ers defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (20/632) since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The 49ers defense allowed successful plays on 72% of plays with a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The 49ers defense has allowed successful plays on 70% of plays with a stacked front since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.