- The Jaguars are -5.5 point favorites vs the Dolphins
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
The Miami Dolphins visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars on Aug. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Jacksonville.
The Jaguars are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Dolphins vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Dolphins vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Dolphins | +5.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 | +200 |
| Jaguars | -5.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 | -250 |
Dolphins vs. Jaguars Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this preseason game with 64.5% confidence.
Dolphins vs Jaguars Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Dolphins and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaylen Waddle has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jaylen Waddle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jeff Wilson has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Travis Etienne has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Dolphins went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Dolphins are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -100% ROI
- Dolphins are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Jaguars went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Jaguars are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 52.63% ROI
- Jaguars are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Jaguars are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Dolphins are winless (0-4) when playing in cold weather since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Dolphins are 4-12 (.250) after a loss since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.
The Dolphins were 4-1 (.800) when forcing at least one fumble in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .600.
The Dolphins are undefeated (13-0) when allowing less than 22 points since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .736.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Jaguars are winless (0-4) after a loss as favorites since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .630.
The Jaguars are 4-5 (.444) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .766.
The Jaguars are winless (0-5) after a loss as favorites since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .641.
The Jaguars are 3-20 (.130) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.
Additional Matchup Notes for Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars WRs had 16 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — tied for most in NFL. The Dolphins allowed 24 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone last season — tied for second-most in NFL.
The Jaguars threw the ball 56.7% of the time in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-highest in NFL. The Dolphins allowed 7 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-most in NFL.
The Dolphins threw for 4,765 passing yards in 17 games (280.3 YPG) last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Jaguars allowed 238.5 passing yards per game last season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Dolphins allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 27.1% of pass attempts in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have pressured opposing QBs on 29.6% of passing plays in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL.
The Dolphins allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 34.1% of pass attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have pressured opposing QBs on 31.6% of passing plays in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats
The Dolphins converted first downs on just 25 of 54 plays (46%) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Dolphins converted first downs on just 5 of 16 plays (31%) on 3rd and short in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
The Dolphins had an average drive start position from the 20.6 yard line in the 1st half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25.9.
The Dolphins have converted first downs on just 63 of 123 plays (51%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars targeted WRs 69% of the time (57 Pass Attempts/82 plays) in the red zone in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Jaguars ran successful plays on 50% of plays in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Jaguars scored on 44% of their drives in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.
The Jaguars targeted RBs 14% of the time (82 Pass Attempts/595 plays) in the 2022 season — 5th-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats
20% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
37% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Dolphins defense blitzed on 24% of plays in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Dolphins defense blitzed 59 times in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense has missed 214 tackles since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (9/168) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 55% on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Jaguars defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 53% in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
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