East Carolina vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

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South Florida coach Brian Gregory reacts to a foul call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston Wednesday, Jan. 11, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 01, 2023, 12:20 PM
  • South Florida (9-13) are -8.5 point favorites vs East Carolina (11-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The East Carolina Pirates (11-11) visit Yuengling Center to take on the South Florida Bulls (9-13) on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Tampa.

South Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The East Carolina vs. South Florida Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina+8.5 -115O 141.5 -105+280
South Florida -8.5 -105U 141.5 -115-375

East Carolina vs South Florida Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 68.0% confidence.

East Carolina vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and South Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+7.95 Units / 159% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.80 Units / 70% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games (+12.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)

East Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Carolina has gone 13-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -19.96% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has gone 14-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.4 Units / -26.58% ROI
  • 17-5 when betting the Over for +11.5 Units / 47.52% ROI
  • 5-17 when betting the Under for -13.7 Units / -56.61% ROI

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina is shooting 32% from three (175/555) this season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Carolina is shooting 41% (518/1,270) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 44%

East Carolina has 21.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

East Carolina has a 36% free throw rate (464 free throw attempts/1,270 field goal attempts) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 31%

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 1.08 points per shot (3,373 points/3,111 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

South Florida has an eFG% of 45% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

South Florida is shooting 29% from three (298/1,023) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

South Florida has a TS% of 42% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has averaged 6.4 steals per game (141 steals/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (548/1,258) this season — 3rd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

East Carolina has forced 12.4 turnovers per game (645 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2

East Carolina has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (1,540 points/1,258 shots) this season — 3rd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (147 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

South Florida has 147 steals this season — 4th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has averaged 6.4 steals per game (340 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

South Florida has forced 13.8 turnovers per game (304 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.