East Carolina vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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South Florida coach Brian Gregory reacts to a foul call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston Wednesday, Jan. 11, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 10:29 AM
  • South Florida (14-17) is a -3.5 point favorite vs East Carolina (15-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The East Carolina Pirates (15-16) visit Dickies Arena to take on the South Florida Bulls (14-17) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 12:30pm EST in Fort Worth.

South Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The East Carolina vs. South Florida Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina+3.5 -115O 141.5 -110+135
South Florida -3.5 -105U 141.5 -110-160

East Carolina vs South Florida Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 56.4% confidence.

East Carolina vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and South Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)

East Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Carolina has gone 18-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -10.07% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has gone 17-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -12.65% ROI
  • 21-10 when betting the Over for +10 Units / 29.33% ROI
  • 10-21 when betting the Under for -13.1 Units / -38.42% ROI

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has averaged 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (287 rebounds/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

East Carolina has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

East Carolina has 21.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

East Carolina is shooting 41% (539/1,325) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 44%

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 1.09 points per shot (3,444 points/3,165 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

South Florida has an eFG% of 45% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

South Florida is shooting 41% (1,282/3,165) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

South Florida has averaged 1.09 points per shot (3,444 points/3,165 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.21

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has 353 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among AAC Teams

East Carolina has averaged 6.5 steals per game (150 steals/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (404/1,162) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (574/1,312) this season — tied for 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (155 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

South Florida has 155 steals this season — 4th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has averaged 6.4 steals per game (348 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (545/1,284) this season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.