East Carolina vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2023, 10:25 AM
  • UCF (16-13) is a -11.5 point favorite vs East Carolina (15-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The East Carolina Pirates (15-15) visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights (16-13) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Orlando.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The East Carolina vs. UCF Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina+11.5 -110O 136.5 -110+475
UCF -11.5 -110U 136.5 -110-650

East Carolina vs UCF Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCF will win this game with 70.5% confidence.

East Carolina vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and UCF, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 47 games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+1.75 Units / 2% ROI)

East Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Carolina has gone 18-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -8.55% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has gone 14-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI).

  • 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -3.3% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 5.64% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -14.11% ROI

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina is shooting 41% (539/1,325) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 44%

East Carolina has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

East Carolina has an eFG% of 47% this season — 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

East Carolina has averaged 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (287 rebounds/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 36% from three (178/493) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

UCF has averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (289 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

UCF has averaged 1.21 points per shot (3,606 points/2,968 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.21

UCF is shooting 35% from three (442/1,247) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has averaged 6.5 steals per game (150 steals/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

East Carolina has 353 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among AAC Teams

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (404/1,162) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (574/1,312) this season — tied for 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has averaged 6.7 steals per game (141 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

UCF has averaged 6.9 steals per game (351 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UCF has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (148/473) this season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

UCF has allowed 67.3 points per game (3,432 points/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 67.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.