East Tennessee State vs Samford Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

min read
basketball on college basketball court
AP Photo
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:28 AM
  • Samford (15-9) are -9.5 point favorites vs East Tennessee State (9-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers (9-15) visit Pete Hanna Center to take on the Samford Bulldogs (15-9) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Birmingham.

Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The East Tennessee State vs. Samford Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

Bet now on Samford vs East Tennessee State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

East Tennessee State vs. Samford Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Tennessee State+9.5 -110O 141.5 -110+375
Samford -9.5 -110U 141.5 -110-500

East Tennessee State vs Samford Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Samford will win this game with 67.8% confidence.

East Tennessee State vs Samford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Tennessee State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both East Tennessee State and Samford, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Samford vs East Tennessee State and all games with BetMGM


  • East Tennessee State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+11.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+6.30 Units / 103% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State have covered the Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+18.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+11.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games (+5.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Samford have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)

East Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Tennessee State has gone 9-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).

  • 7-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -29.25% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Over for -4.2 Units / -17.36% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Under for +2.1 Units / 8.68% ROI

Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Samford has gone 10-10 against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -5.26% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI

East Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has averaged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (235 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 8.9

East Tennessee State has made 6.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

East Tennessee State has a 25% free throw rate (837 free throw attempts/3,303 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

East Tennessee State has 14.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7

Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has a 39% free throw rate (546 free throw attempts/1,390 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 31%

Samford has 736 turnovers since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Southern Teams

Samford has 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 17.8

Samford has averaged 1.36 points per shot (1,885 points/1,390 shots) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

East Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,304 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

East Tennessee State has averaged 6.5 steals per game (156 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.2

East Tennessee State has 156 steals this season — 4th most among Southern Teams

East Tennessee State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (372 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has averaged 7.2 steals per game (174 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Samford has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Samford has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,355 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Samford has 413 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among Southern Teams


Bet now on Samford vs East Tennessee State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.