Eastern Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 11:30 AM
  • Liberty (25-7) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Eastern Kentucky (20-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Eastern Kentucky Colonels (20-12) visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames (25-7) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lynchburg.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Eastern Kentucky vs. Liberty Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Eastern Kentucky vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eastern Kentucky+12.5 -110O 140.5 -115+625
Liberty -12.5 -110U 140.5 -105-1000

Eastern Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 74.0% confidence.

Eastern Kentucky vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Eastern Kentucky and Liberty, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Eastern Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Eastern Kentucky have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Eastern Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Eastern Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Eastern Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in their last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 14 games at home (+11.90 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)

Eastern Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Eastern Kentucky has gone 18-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.05 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 10.08% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Over for -10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Under for +8 Units / 25.08% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has gone 18-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 18.47% ROI).

  • 20-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.65% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI

Eastern Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Eastern Kentucky has made 10.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Eastern Kentucky is shooting 64% from the free throw line (255/396) this season — lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 71%

Eastern Kentucky has averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (294 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 8.7

Eastern Kentucky has averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (294 rebounds/24 games) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (418 assists/ 247 TOs) this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Liberty has averaged 17.4 assists per game (418 assists/24 games) this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 13.9

Liberty has a TS% of 53% this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 49%

Liberty has a TS% of 53% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Eastern Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Eastern Kentucky has averaged 9.5 steals per game (520 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Eastern Kentucky has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (598 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Eastern Kentucky has averaged 9.5 steals per game (520 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Eastern Kentucky has 520 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Atlantic Sun Teams

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed 58.4 points per game (1,401 points/24 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Liberty has allowed 58.4 points per game (1,401 points/24 games) this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 70.4

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,401 points/1,235 shots) this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 1.22

Liberty has allowed 61.3 points per game (3,495 points/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.