Ecuador vs. Senegal Predictions, Odds, & Picks: World Cup 2022

min read
Ecuador's Enner Valencia scores a goal during the World Cup group A soccer match between Netherlands and Ecuador, at the Khalifa International Stadium in Doha, Qatar, Friday, Nov. 25, 2022.
AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko
Laura Paterson @ Nov 28, 2022, 5:36 PM
  • Ecuador needs a draw, while Senegal must win to advance.
  • Enner Valencia has scored all three of Ecuador’s goals so far.
  • I expect a low-scoring draw with Ecuador advancing.

Ecuador and Senegal will play their last game of the FIFA World Cup Group Stages on Tuesday, November 29, at the Khalifa International Stadium.

Ecuador needs just a point to advance to the Round of 16, while Senegal needs all three to make it through.

Will the resolute Ecuadorian defense thwart Senegal’s chances? Or can a tactical tweak help the Lions of Teranga win?

Ecuador vs. Senegal ​​Prediction, World Cup:

The winning team model predicts Ecuador will win this Group A game with 53% confidence. The model also predicts a 33% chance of a tie/draw. 

» Get Win Predictions for Every World Cup Game

Ecuador vs. Senegal Odds, Outrights, Over/Under

  • Match Result: Ecuador (+140) | Draw (+210) | Senegal (+210) 
  • Draw No Bet: Ecuador (-115) | Senegal (+110) 
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (+125) | Under 2.5 (-175)

Ecuador vs. Senegal Match Info

2022 World Cup — Group Stage (A)

Date: Tuesday, November 29

Time: 10:00 AM ET

Venue: Khalifa International Stadium

Coverage: FOX, Telemundo

Ecuador vs. Senegal Analysis

After losing to the Netherlands in their opening match, Senegal needed a victory to keep their hopes of advancing alive. Boulaye Dia, Famara Diedhiou, and Bamba Dieng all scored in a 3-1 win against the host nation. 

While it was a dominant display from the African champions, they let in a sloppy goal and will need to be more alert if they want to keep Enner Valencia and Co. at bay. 

With the Netherlands widely expected to beat Qatar on Tuesday, only a win will see Aliou Cissé’s men advance to the next round. To do this, they will have to beat a South American team in the World Cup for the first time.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Cissé has some tactical tweaks up his sleeve to try and thwart Ecuador’s attacking prowess.

Enner Valencia is the main man the Senegal defense must keep an eye on. He has scored all three of his team’s goals so far. He will become only the second player in history to score seven goals in a row for a single nation at the World Cup if he scores in this game.

Gustavo Alfaro’s team has proven resolute so far, and the defense has only allowed seven shots on goal in two games. The Netherlands scored one against Ecuador, but the back line rarely looks shaky.

There is a lot on the line for these two teams, with only one of them able to advance. I expect Alfaro to set up cautiously, with Ecuador happy to soak up the pressure and try capitalize on the break.

A draw is all that Ecuador needs from this game, and unfortunately for Senegal, this is how I see it unfolding. 

I predict a low-scoring tie in this crucial clash that will send Ecuador on to the Round of 16 and Senegal home.

Ecuador vs. Senegal Game Result Odds

  • Match Result: Draw (+210) | 
  • Draw No Bet: Ecuador (-155) | Senegal (+110) 
  • Over/Under Goals: Under 2.5 (-175)
  • Enner Valencia to Score: Second Half (+450)
  • Both Teams to Score and Match to End in a Tie: (+350)

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About the Author

Laura Paterson

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Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.

Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.