Another exciting weekend of English Premier League matches awaits! We’re going to look at the EPL betting odds for the biggest games on Matchday 25, in which all but two of the top ten in the table will face off against each other.
But before we do, here’s a quick look back at the most exciting developments in Matchday 24:
- Manchester City looks to have cemented their hold on the trophy for the season, as they blew the Spurs away with a 3-0 score.
- Manchester United stumbled again with a draw to lowly West Brom.
- Leicester demolished Liverpool 3-1.
- Chelsea are finally hitting their stride, as Timo Werner finally broke his goal-scoring drought.
- West Ham moved into the 5th spot above Liverpool after beating Sheffield United 3-0.
Saturday, February 20
Southampton vs. Chelsea
Betting odds: Southampton: +375 Tie: +275 Chelsea: -135
If Ralph Hasenhüttl was hoping that his team would put the 9-0 thrashing at the hands of Man United behind them—he was sorely mistaken. The Saints haven’t won a League game since the first game of the new year, and their manager must be wondering where it all went wrong. Southampton had a decent start to the season, and they beat Liverpool in January in what was hoped would be a start of a resurgence for the second half of the season, but the players have fallen woefully short. The Saints have slid down to 13th on the table, and they are coming up against a Chelsea side that are just finding their goal-scoring form.
After a miserable couple of months for the Blues, things seem to be coming right, and they haven’t lost a game since Thomas Tuchel replaced Frank Lampard at the helm. Tuchel looks to have invigorated a team that was direly short of confidence, and his team format of experience and youth is paying off. One of the biggest question marks was whether he could get Chelsea’s expensive new signings to deliver. While it’s still too early to say he’s successfully tackled this challenge, Tuchel will hope that this is a sign of things to come, especially now that Timo Werner finally got onto the scoresheet against Newcastle.
Given Southampton’s woeful recent form and the rising confidence of this Chelsea team, it’s unlikely that the Saints are going to have much luck this weekend. Odds are on Chelsea to take all three points.
Liverpool vs. Everton
Betting odds: Liverpool: -190 Tie: +340 Everton: +500
Oh, how the mighty have fallen. The defending champions find themselves in 6th place on the table after what can only be described as an absolute capitulation in the League. The Reds have lost all three of their last League games, and Jürgen Klopp looks like a man that is bereft of ideas. While Liverpool are struggling with a host of injuries, it shouldn’t be responsible for the lack of confidence and desire that Liverpool are playing with at the moment. Many Liverpool fans will place the blame squarely at Alisson Becker’s not-so-reliable feet, but the truth is that their goalkeeper is just a reflection of what’s going on at Anfield at the moment. There are a few positives to keep the hope of a top-four finish alive though: Mo Salah has finally put on his goal-scoring boots, and the 2-0 win against RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League that should give the Reds some much-needed confidence.
Everton haven’t made easy work for themselves over the last couple of weeks and have only won one game in the last five. Calvert-Lewin looks back to his best, and their comeback against Manchester United was a sight to behold; however, they followed this up with a 2-0 loss to Fulham. Consistency seems to be the biggest problem that Sam Allardyce needs to sort out at Goodison Park if the Toffees want to have any hope of getting into the Champions League spots. They sit in 7th position with a game in hand; however, the match is against Manchester City, so don’t expect them to take any points from this.
The betting odds are going in Liverpool’s favor, but if Calvert-Lewin is in a goal-scoring mood, expect Everton to give the Red’s shaky defense plenty of problems.
Sunday, February 21
West Ham vs. Tottenham
Betting odds: West Ham: +150 Tie: +240 Tottenham: +180
If you had told David Moyes at the beginning of the season that his team would be sitting in 5th place, above Liverpool, Tottenham, and Arsenal, he probably would not have believed you. But here we are. The Hammers are enjoying their best season of soccer in decades, and it’s starting to look like bringing Moyes back is the best decision for his career and the club’s hopes of European Football. With only one out-and-out central striker in Michail Antonio, many believed the team would struggle for goals, but even while the big player was injured, the goals didn’t stop coming. Declan Rice, Tomáš Souček, Jesse Lingard, Issa Diop, and a whole host of other players have stepped up to the plate when they were needed. This is a team brimming with confidence and they will certainly face Tottenham with more panache than we’ve seen in recent years.
There’s not many neutrals that will bemoan the way that José Mourinho’s team has fallen in recent weeks. Mourinho is a manager that likes results and will do anything that he needs in order to get them. This, more often than not, means a rather dull, cagey style of soccer that is anything but exciting to watch. At the beginning of the season everything seemed to be going to plan, but the Spurs have now lost four of their last five League games and sit in 9th position. The Tottenham players seem to be struggling to adapt to the style of play expected of them and make every game look like a chore. It was hoped that Mourinho would bring trophies when he replaced Mauricio Pochettino a year ago, but it looks like the wait will go on.
The odds are on West Ham further compounding Mourinho’s misery when they visit London Stadium.
Aston Villa vs. Leicester
Betting odds: Aston Villa: +180 Tie: +260 Leicester City: +140
After a blistering start to the season which saw Villa camped in the top four spots, things have started to get a bit patchy for Dean Smith’s team. They have won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five League games, and this has seen the Villains drop into 8th spot on the table. Keep in mind that they only survived relegation on the last day of last season courtesy of a Jack Grealish masterclass, so 8th place and ahead of both Tottenham and Arsenal is still a decent position to be in. Jack Grealish is still undoubtedly the shining star holding this team together with 6 goals and 10 assists so far, but there is also great excitement about the young British striker Ollie Watkins, who has plundered 10 goals so far this season.
Leicester City have had a revival over the last couple of weeks after an inconsistent period. While they have won two, drawn two and lost one in their last five League games, it was the emphatic 3-1 win over Liverpool last time out that really showed what the Foxes are capable of. Three of Leicester’s best players in Jamie Vardy, James Maddison, and Harvey Barnes scored one apiece, all within the space of eight minutes to sink Liverpool. The result has lifted the Foxes into 3rd place, only behind Man United on goal difference. Brendan Rogers will hope that this is the start of a more consistent run from his team.
This is not going to be an easy game for Leicester, but if they play to their strengths, there shouldn’t be any reason that they can take all three points at Villa Park.
Arsenal vs. Manchester City
Betting odds: Arsenal: +525 Tie: +310 Manchester City: -185
Arsenal are finally back into the top 10 on the table and although it looks like they’ll miss out on any European spots, it’s a far better sight than where they were positioned for most of this campaign. Towards the end of 2020, the Gunners found themselves just above the relegation spots and Mikel Artete must have been sweating over his job. He has managed to get some decent performances out of his team over the last few months, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang back to his normal goal-scoring ways and the amazing form of academy youngsters Bukayo Saka and Emile Smith Rowe helping the Gunners climb the table.
Of course, Arsenal are hosting the impervious Manchester City. Pep Guardiola’s team look firmly set to lift the Premier League trophy this season. They are sitting in the top spot, seven points ahead of 2nd place Manchester United, with a game in hand. It’s simply impossible to see City dropping 10 points before the end of the season with the way they are playing. They are absolutely resolute at the back, driven in midfield, and lethal in front of the goal. Guardiola will be thrilled at how his team turned their performances around to go on a 20-game unbeaten run.
It’s hard to see Arsenal taking anything off Man City at the Emirates and expect the Citizens to go home with all three points in the bag.
Manchester United vs. Newcastle
Betting odds: Man United: -350 Tie: +500 Newcastle: +850
Manchester United seem to enjoy giving away points at this stage of the season. They have only won one of their last five League games and Ole Gunnar Solskjær must be wondering how his team gave away their lead in the top spot with such ease. Seeing out a draw with a top side can be considered a fair result, but a draw against the second last team in the League should be unforgivable for a team of United’s stature. But that’s exactly what they did against West Brom on Matchday 24, and this means that they have been beaten by the worst team in the League in Sheffield United and lost points to the team just above them. Many will point to the absence of injured Paul Podga, but United aren’t just struggling to break down teams that sit back and defend. The leaky defensive pair of Maguire and Lindelof aren’t helping much at the back either. David De Gea has also made some serious goalkeeping mistakes. With Thursday night soccer in the Europa League starting this week, United are going to be even more fatigued for their League games.
Newcastle sits just above the relegation zone in 17th place and while this would ordinarily be a match that few of the Magpies players would look forward to, Steve Bruce’s side can take confidence in the combination of United’s woeful home form and their record against teams at the bottom of the table. Newcastle recorded excellent wins over Southampton and Everton recently and Callum Wilson is looking excellent upfront. This is not going to be an easy game for Newcastle by any means, but if they can stifle United’s creativity and hit them on the counter, then they are pretty much sitting ducks at the moment.
On paper, United should take all three points from this match, and the betting odds reflect that. However, don’t expect United to do themselves a disservice and lose even more points to a team struggling far below them.
What’s happening in the rest of the League?
- Wolves vs. Leeds United: Wolves: +160 Tie: +210 Leeds: +190
- Burnley vs. West Brom: Burnley: +100 Tie: +240 West Brom: +290
- Fulham vs. Sheffield United: Fulham: +120 Tie: +220 Sheffield: +250
- Brighton vs. Crystal Palace: Brighton: -125 Tie: +250 Palace: +375
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