Evansville vs Illinois State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 26, 2023, 9:44 AM
  • Illinois State (10-20) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Evansville (5-25)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Evansville Purple Aces (5-25) visit Redbird Arena to take on the Illinois State Redbirds (10-20) on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Normal.

Illinois State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Evansville vs. Illinois State Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Evansville vs. Illinois State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Evansville+10.5 -115O 138.5 -115+400
Illinois State -10.5 -105U 138.5 -105-550

Evansville vs Illinois State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois State will win this game with 70.2% confidence.

Evansville vs Illinois State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Evansville and Illinois State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Evansville has hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+0.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Illinois State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Evansville has gone 11-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -25.38% ROI
  • 19-11 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 20.91% ROI
  • 11-19 when betting the Under for -9.9 Units / -30% ROI

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has gone 10-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-10.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.3 Units / -31.91% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.52% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -20.3% ROI

Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has a TS% of 42% this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Evansville is shooting 62% from the free throw line (259/417) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Evansville has averaged 1.10 points per shot (1,497 points/1,360 shots) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Evansville has averaged 62.4 points per game (1,497 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (356 turnovers/24 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Illinois State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (251 assists/ 356 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Illinois State is shooting 80% from the free throw line (337/421) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71%

Illinois State is shooting 80% from the free throw line (337/421) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has averaged 6.5 steals per game (155 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Evansville has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (644/1,352) this season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Evansville has allowed 75.8 points per game (1,818 points/24 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 68.1

Evansville has allowed 8.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 19th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (137 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Illinois State has 362 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Illinois State has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (271 turnovers/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Illinois State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (422/1,240) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.