Florida vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2023, 1:09 PM
  • Alabama (20-3) are -9.5 point favorites vs Florida (13-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Florida Gators (13-10) visit Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (20-3) on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Tuscaloosa.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Florida vs. Alabama Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida+9.5 -105O 148.5 -115+380
Alabama -9.5 -115U 148.5 -105-550

Florida vs Alabama Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 69.0% confidence.

Florida vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.90 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+7.05 Units / 9% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has gone 12-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -9.32% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting the Over for -8.5 Units / -33.6% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting the Under for +6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has gone 14-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI).

  • 16-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.4 Units / 17.08% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -12.65% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 3.95% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 5.2 turnovers per game (115 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Florida is shooting 31% from three (419/1,348) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Florida is shooting 74% from the free throw line (326/441) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Florida is shooting 74% from the free throw line (807/1,095) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 111 three-pointers in the second half this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (498 turnovers/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Alabama has attempted 317 threes in the second half this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 6.5 steals per game (144 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Florida has allowed 30.0 points per game (660 points/22 games) in the first half this season — tied for 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31.0

Florida has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Florida has allowed 34.5 points per game (759 points/22 games) in the second half this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 35.4

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (702 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 6.6 steals per game (223 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.