Florida Gulf Coast vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 12:44 PM
  • Liberty (17-5) are -13.5 point favorites vs Florida Gulf Coast (14-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (14-8) visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames (17-5) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lynchburg.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).

The Florida Gulf Coast vs. Liberty Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Florida Gulf Coast vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida Gulf Coast+13.5 -105O 130.5 -115+750
Liberty -13.5 -115U 130.5 -105-1200

Florida Gulf Coast vs Liberty Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 73.8% confidence.

Florida Gulf Coast vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Gulf Coast will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida Gulf Coast and Liberty, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Florida Gulf Coast has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in their last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)

Florida Gulf Coast Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida Gulf Coast has gone 6-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -10.06% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Over for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Under for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has gone 13-6 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.4 Units / 30.55% ROI).

  • 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -2.94% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -24.4% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / 15.79% ROI

Florida Gulf Coast Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida Gulf Coast has made 9.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Florida Gulf Coast has made 9.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Florida Gulf Coast is shooting 43% (544/1,264) this season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Florida Gulf Coast has attempted 1,570 threes since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among Division 1 Teams

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has made 11.4 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Liberty has made 10.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Liberty has averaged 17.5 assists per game (386 assists/22 games) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Liberty has an eFG% of 57% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed 57.9 points per game (1,274 points/22 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.5

Liberty has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Liberty has allowed 61.2 points per game (3,368 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.