Florida vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 12:31 PM
  • Kansas State (17-3) are -4.5 point favorites vs Florida (12-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Florida Gators (12-8) visit Bramlage Coliseum to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (17-3) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Manhattan.

Kansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Florida vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida+4.5 -110O 139.5 -110+165
Kansas State -4.5 -110U 139.5 -110-200

Florida vs Kansas State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 60.7% confidence.

Florida vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 30 games (+17.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+15.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 46 games (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has gone 11-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI).

  • 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -9.36% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has gone 14-4 against the spread this college basketball season (+9.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.9 Units / 20.99% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida is shooting 31% from three (408/1,306) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Florida has averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Florida has averaged 11.6 turnovers per game (233 turnovers/20 games) this season — tied for best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Florida has averaged 5.9 assists per game (118 assists/20 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. averaged 2.2 turnovers per game (42 turnovers/19 games) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 3.3

Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Florida has averaged 7.7 steals per game (417 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Florida has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Florida has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,877 points/1,525 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (72/263) this season — 5th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Kansas St. allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (71/251) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 31%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.