This year’s SEC Championship game features the highly anticipated matchup of Georgia vs. Alabama. BetMGM has the latest college football odds, including several bets available for this game and all of the other conference championships.
I think the Georgia Bulldogs are in a position where they do not have to win this game to make the playoffs, whereas the Alabama Crimson Tide may not make it, in my opinion, if they lose.
Will that impact possible bets on the board? Here are my recommendations for bets on the SEC Championship
I know I said above that Georgia possibly not having to win this game could come into play, but I think they will want to make a statement in this game.
Georgia’s defense is dominant. They lead the entire nation in total yards allowed per game (230.9) and points allowed per game (6.9).
Admittedly, Alabama’s offense is going to be the best that Georgia’s defense has faced this season, leading all of Georgia’s opponents in total yards per game (491.6) and points per game (42.7).
But, the Crimson Tide have not faced a defense like Georgia’s all year, and with them struggling to get by a short-handed Auburn team last week, it’s difficult to imagine them scoring many points against the Bulldogs.
A game this close could get decided by self-inflicted errors. Neither team turns the ball over often. Georgia averages 1.2 turnovers a game while Alabama averages 0.9. I believe that the difference in this game could come down to penalties. Georgia only averages around five penalties a game for 38.6 yards. On the other hand, Alabama averages around seven penalties a game for 67.5 yards. Thirty yards could be the difference between being able to kick a game-winning field goal or not.
I like Georgia to cover in this game because of their dominant defense and disciplined play.
Another bet I like in this game is the total points to go under because of Georgia’s notable defensive stats above. Not only does Georgia average less than a touchdown allowed per game, but they also have not given up more than 17 points in a game all season.
Alabama’s defense is one of the best in the country, ranking 7th in yards allowed per game. In addition, Bama allows 0.3 fewer rushing yards per game than Georgia does.
I think that this game will be won in the trenches. I’m expecting a low score from both teams. Something around 24-17 wouldn’t surprise me.
Georgia Money Line and Under 53.5 (+140)
For those not as confident about who will cover the spread, you can go with an alternative bet with the money line and a flexible point total. However, I am adding a field goal to the expected point total to give myself more protection.
Alabama’s defense still gives up only 292.5 yards per game and 19.9 points per game.
With that in mind, I do not expect Georgia’s offense to score 40+ points like they have the last four games, but I am confident enough to pick them to win the game outright.
Get Your Georgia vs. Alabama Bets In
These are three of my best bets for the Georgia vs. Alabama SEC Championship game. Do you agree with these picks, or would you go in another direction?
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