The 2022 College Football Playoff National Championship is upon us, with this year’s championship game featuring Georgia vs. Alabama.
According to BetMGM’s latest NCAAF odds, the Georgia Bulldogs are three-point favorites in this game.
Can they cover the spread and win this game outright? Here are some of my predictions for this game.
CFP National Championship Game Information
Before we look at the betting angles in this game, here is some information that you should know:
- Date: Monday, Jan. 10th
- Time: 8 P.M. EST on ESPN
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN
Alabama +3 (-110)
I am surprised that the Alabama Crimson Tide are underdogs in this game, considering they cruised to a 41-24 win over Georgia in this year’s SEC Championship Game.
The main reason I like them to cover here is that this team has proven they can score on elite defenses throughout the season. Georgia gives up the fewest points per game in the country, yet Alabama put up 41 on them.
Alabama has also faced two other defenses that rank in the top five for the fewest points per game allowed. Those were on Oct. 10th at Texas A&M and in the Cotton Bowl against Cincinnati, where they scored 38 and 27 points, respectively.
Considering that the Crimson Tide averaged over 35 points per game against the defenses listed above, I am not sure if the Bulldogs have enough offense to keep up. They have scored over 35 points against just one ranked team this season.
Over 51.5 (-110)
Continuing my prediction that Alabama’s offense will put up some points, I think this game will go over as the SEC Championship Game did. I expect Alabama to score often in this game, and if they keep up their past average against elite defenses, they will get close to this total by themselves.
However, I think Georgia’s offense will perform better in this rematch. Despite not putting up crazy points against ranked teams, their offense averages 38.8 points per game, good for ninth in the country.
Alabama is also missing a few key players on defense, including multiple linemen plus CB Josh Jobe. I think that and Georgia’s potential on offense should push this game over.
In my opinion, the main reason Alabama is an underdog in this game is because of their health. They are not only dealing with the injuries above, but they are also missing WR John Metchie, C Landon Dickerson, and OL Emil Ekiyor Jr.
While John Metchie’s absence hurts Alabama, WR Jameson Williams has played excellent football this season. He has had at least six catches in six of his last seven games, with nine touchdown receptions in that stretch. In my opinion, he’s the best deep-threat wide receiver in college football.
When Williams faced Georgia, he had seven catches for 184 receiving yards and two touchdown receptions. I think if he can put up a decent performance here, the Tide should have enough in them to pull this out.
Place Your Georgia vs. Alabama Bets
These are some of my predictions for the Georgia vs. Alabama championship game. Do you agree with these picks, or do you have something else in mind?
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