Giants vs 49ers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3 TNF

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(AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2023, 3:18 PM
  • The 49ers are -10 point favorites vs the Giants
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime Video

The New York Giants (1-1) visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the San Francisco 49ers (2-0) on Sep. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Santa Clara.

The 49ers are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Giants vs. 49ers Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. 49ers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants+10 -11045 -110+400
49ers -10 -11045 -110-550

Giants vs. 49ers Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this Week 3 game with 79.0% confidence.

Giants vs 49ers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the 49ers will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Giants and 49ers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Isaiah Hodgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)

Best 49ers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for 49ers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • George Kittle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jauan Jennings has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Deebo Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 51% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Giants

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Christian McCaffrey +300
Deebo Samuel +700
Brandon Aiyuk +800
Tyrion Davis-Price
George Kittle +1100

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Giants

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Christian McCaffrey -300
Brayden Willis
Deebo Samuel +105
Brandon Aiyuk +105
George Kittle +180

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for 49ers vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Deebo Samuel 54.5 -115 54.5 -115
Hodgins 31.5 -120 31.5 -115
Darius Slayton 32.5 -110 32.5 -120
Parris Campbell 28.5 -115 28.5 -115
Darren Waller 45.5 -115 45.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for 49ers vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Daniel Jones 35.5 -115 35.5 -115
Christian Mccaffrey 79.5 -115 79.5 -115
Deebo Samuel 15.5 -110 15.5 -120
  • The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+4.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+7.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants went 0-2 (-2.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Giants are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Giants are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Giants are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers went 1-0 (+1 Units / 45.45% ROI).

  • 49ers are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 43.48% ROI
  • 49ers are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 49ers are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers

The Giants were winless (0-6) vs top 10 offenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.

The Giants are winless (0-12) vs top 10 offenses since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .355.

The Giants are winless (0-10-1) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .288.

The Giants are 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .467.

San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The 49ers are 12-1 (.923) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 144.1 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The 49ers are 9-3 (.750) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .363.

The 49ers are undefeated (15-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .552.

The 49ers were winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .296.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. San Francisco 49ers

49ers RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 13.0% of 439 carries since the 2022 season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 10+ yards on 15.1% of carries to RBs since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL.

The 49ers are averaging 5.0 yards per carry since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 5.3 yards per carry since the 2022 season — second-worst in NFL.

49ers RBs have averaged 114.7 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 144.1 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Giants RBs have averaged 7.9 targets per game since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — tied for third-highest in NFL. The 49ers have allowed 6.1 receptions per game to RBs since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 65 of their 1,178 total passing attempts (6%) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The Giants have not scored on any drive in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Giants ran 5% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Giants have started 4 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.

San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats

The 49ers have completed passes for 20+ yards on 125 of their 1,078 total passing attempts (12%) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The 49ers went three and out on 14% of their drives in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The 49ers have scored on 70% of their drives in the 1st half this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The 49ers have averaged 8.3 yards per attempt (8,902 yards/1,078 attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.0.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense has not recorded a sack (56 pass attempts) this season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.2.

The Giants defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 4 times this season — most in NFL.

The Giants defense blitzed on 23% of plays in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Giants defense forced 19 fumbles in the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats

The 49ers defense allowed successful plays on 27% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The 49ers defense allowed scores on 26% of opponent drives in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

The 49ers defense has averaged 2.0 interceptions per game (4/2) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.7.

The 49ers defense allowed 16.4 Points per Game (279/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.8.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.