- The Astros are -190 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling
- Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The San Francisco Giants (+155) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-190) on Monday, May 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Giants vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 11-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 15-13 ATS.
Giants vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 -105 | +155 |
| Astros | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -115 | -190 |
Giants vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.95 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+17.20 Units / 62% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+13.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games at home (+8.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Astros vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Astros vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Astros vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 12-15 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -14.61% ROI).
- 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -24.06% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -4.82% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -3.75% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 15-13 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 1.32% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -11.59% ROI
- 15-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 6.53% ROI
- 12-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -14.19% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 37% of Ross Stripling’s non-fastballs (74/198) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (44/253) against Ross Stripling on sliders since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 32% — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (60/195) against Ross Stripling since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Ross Stripling has walked 25 of 608 batters (4%) since last season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Garcia has thrown his cutter 55% of the time (76/138) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total CUT; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Garcia has thrown his cutter 48% of the time (56/116) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total CUT; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 48% (21/44) against Luis Garcia with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Garcia has allowed a slugging percentage of .859 (67 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .428 — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Giants are 53-64 (.453) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Giants are just 4-4 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Giants are 1-13 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Giants are 29-5 (.853) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Astros are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Astros are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Astros are 53-11 (.828) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Astros are 41-37 (.526) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging .505 on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
Giants hitters have 107 strikeouts in 362 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .632 (362 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 366 strikeouts in 2,146 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 746 strikeouts in 4,227 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 45 strikeouts in 296 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 74 of 1,045 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Back, D10
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Sean Manaea (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
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