- The Astros are + favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (+) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+) on Wednesday, May 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Giants vs Astros Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 12-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 16-14 ATS.
Giants vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | + + | O + | + |
| Astros | + + | U + | + |
Giants vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Giants vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.50 Units / 89% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+15.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 23% ROI)
Astros vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Slater | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Astros vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -155 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 13-16 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -14.11% ROI).
- 12-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -20.71% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -4.94% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -3.66% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 16-14 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 1.25% ROI).
- 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -12.58% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 5.61% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -13.44% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (386/667) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (60/100) against Logan Webb this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Logan Webb’s K:BB ratio is 18.0 (18/1) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.5 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has walked 5 of 149 batters (3%) this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (445/667) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (376/555) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 67% (372/555) against Framber Valdez in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (64/96) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Giants are 53-65 (.449) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Giants are just 1-11 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Giants are just 5-10 (.333) on the road this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Giants are 10-3 (.769) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Astros are 18-24 (.429) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Astros are 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Astros are just 2-59 (.033) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Astros are 11-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 305 strikeouts in 1,124 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .340 (755 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Giants are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Giants are batting .371 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 746 strikeouts in 4,231 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 366 strikeouts in 2,150 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 45 strikeouts in 300 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Giants have allowed 2.24 runs per game (65/29) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.33.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Back, D10
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Sean Manaea (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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