Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 13, 2023, 9:04 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -175 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The San Francisco Giants (+145) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Giants are 17-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 21-18 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -150O 7.5 +100+145
Diamondbacks -1.5 +125U 7.5 -120-175

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+9.50 Units / 75% ROI)
  • J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+8.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ryne Nelson has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Dominic Fletcher has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+4.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+5.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games (+5.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 18-20 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -8.87% ROI).

  • 17-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -17.1% ROI
  • 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -7.09% ROI
  • 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -1.09% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 21-18 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 4.04% ROI).

  • 21-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 10.61% ROI
  • 20-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 3.14% ROI
  • 17-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -11.32% ROI

Anthony DeSclafani has allowed an OBP of just .141 (85 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.

Anthony DeSclafani has allowed an OPS of just .289 (85 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .500 — 96th Percentile.

Anthony DeSclafani has not walked any of the 32 batters that he has faced with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (60/310) against Anthony DeSclafani this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 11th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 5-6 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Giants are just 11-7 (.611) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Giants are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Giants are 80-2 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .953.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

keys to the game – home

The Giants are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Giants hitters are slugging just .360 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Giants hitters have 125 strikeouts in 464 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Giants hitters have 604 strikeouts in 2,396 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks hitters have just 183 strikeouts in 964 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .355 (838 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 23% of swings this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

team pitchers – away

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
  • Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
  • Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
  • Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
  • Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
  • Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, D10
  • Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
  • Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.