Giants vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

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(AP Photo/Duane Burleson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 11, 2023, 12:43 PM
  • The Giants are -3 point favorites vs the Lions
  • Total (Over/Under): 35.5 points
  • Watch the game on Broadcast Channel

The New York Giants visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions on Aug. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit.

The Giants are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Giants vs. Lions Over/Under is 35.5 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants-3 -11035.5 -110-150
Lions +3 -11035.5 -110+125

Giants vs. Lions Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Giants will win this preseason game with 58.7% confidence.

Giants vs Lions Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Giants and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Isaiah Hodgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 95% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.15 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Giants went 14-5 (+8.6 Units / 41.85% ROI).

  • Giants are 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 29.96% ROI
  • Giants are 8-10 when betting the Over for -3.05 Units / -14.56% ROI
  • Giants are 10-8 when betting the Under for +1.2 Units / ROI

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Lions went 12-5 (+6.4 Units / 34.22% ROI).

  • Lions are 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 13.6% ROI
  • Lions are 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
  • Lions are 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Giants are winless (0-10-1) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .295.

The Giants are 1-11 (.083) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .353.

The Giants are 3-12-1 (.188) on the road since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .458.

The Giants are winless (0-5-1) when allowing more than 50% of third down conversions opportunities since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .277.

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Lions were winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .301.

The Lions were 1-7 (.125) when committing 1 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .405.

The Lions were undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 22 points in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .711.

The Lions were winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .391.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions

The Lions scored on 39.5% of their drives in the first quarter last season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Giants defense allowed scores on 38.1% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — second-worst in NFL.

The Lions ran 50.7% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last season — second-best in NFL. Giants allowed their opponents to run47.8% of plays in their territory last season — second-worst in NFL.

The Lions had an average drive start position from the 29.2 yard line last season — best in NFL. The Giants allowed an average drive start position from the 28.3 yard line last season — second-worst in NFL.

The Giants scored on 46.1% of their drives in the second half last season — best in NFL. The Lions defense allowed scores on 39.8% of opponent drives in the second half last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Giants had 21 rushing touchdowns last season — fourth-most in NFL. The Lions allowed 22 rushing TDs last season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Giants rushed the ball on 58.2% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone last season — fifth-highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 19 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — tied for third-most in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 59 of their 1,112 total passing attempts (5%) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The Giants ran 5% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

17 of the Giants offense’s 38 (45%) TDs came through the air in the 2022 season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Giants started 4 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats

The Lions went three and out on 4% of their drives in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Lions ran 62% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Lions committed 15 turnovers in the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.

The Lions scored on 43% of their drives in the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense blitzed on 23% of plays in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Giants defense forced 19 fumbles in the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Giants defense blitzed on 22% of plays in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Giants defense allowed first downs on 30% of pass attempts on 3rd down in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats

The Lions defense allowed 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,935 yards / 830 touches) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 11% of the time (62 Pass Attempts/559 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Lions defense allowed just 2.6 receptions per game (44/17) to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 4.5.

The Lions defense allowed first downs on 50% of rush attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.