- The Padres are -135 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Sean Manaea, 7.71 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Julio Teheran, 3.00 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSD
The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Monday, March 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Peoria.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Giants are 3-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 6-7 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | O 11 -105 | +115 |
| Padres | -1.5 +145 | U 11 -115 | -135 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.05 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 78 of their last 154 games (+9.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games at home (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 3-7 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -38.46% ROI).
- 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -45.15% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -4.09% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -4.09% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -7.74% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -25.56% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -18.21% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 12.46% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea allowed a slugging percentage of .852 (75 Total Bases / 88 ABs) when he was behind in the count last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .582 — first Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 40% of the time (1,681/4,175) against right-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (1,237/4,175) against right-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 92nd Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown fastballs 61% of the time (3,313/5,462) since the start of the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Giants are 24-134 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 28-11 (.718) when scoring in the first inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Giants are 8-65 (.110) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are just 3-59 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Padres are 71-7 (.910) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Padres are 22-2 (.917) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Padres are 32-9 (.780) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Giants batted .368 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Giants hitters slugged .624 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 59% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .383 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Padres batted just .230 at home last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Padres hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 177 of 2,900 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 857 of 12,072 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .193 against Padres pitchers with the shift last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Padres have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
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