- The Giants are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Monday, July 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Giants vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 52-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 58-36 ATS.
Giants vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -105 | -150 |
| Reds | +1.5 -125 | U 9.5 -115 | +125 |
Giants vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 73.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 15 away games (+15.35 Units / 67% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.20 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+13.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+10.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Reds vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Reds vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Logan Webb | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 away games (+15.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 74 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 79 games (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 72 games (+21.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 93 games (+20.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+12.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 49-44 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2.4% ROI).
- 52-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 3.31% ROI
- 42-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 48-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 2.21% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 58-36 against the Run Line (+19.2 Units / 15.95% ROI).
- 50-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.45 Units / 14.04% ROI
- 53-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.3 Units / 8.05% ROI
- 41-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.25 Units / -16.62% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (212/348) against Logan Webb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (182/396) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 34% of the time (442/1,302) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (213/502) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Williamson has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (303/648) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to June 19th — Freddy Peralta has the longest active streak at 7.
Brandon Williamson has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (339/799) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to June 26th — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 12.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 11-29 (.275) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Giants are 4-36 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Giants are 18-10 (.643) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
The Giants are 15-7 (.682) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Reds are just 10-14 (.417) after a loss as favorites since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are 20-8 (.714) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 21-8 (.724) after a win as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .597.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have just 10 strikeouts in 127 PA’s (8%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting .299 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Giants hitters have 632 strikeouts in 2,550 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .185 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting .260 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,667 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Reds hitters have 37 strikeouts in 99 PA’s (37%) over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have not walked any of the 82 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Giants pitchers have walked 692 of 9,572 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have won 54% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .301 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Reds vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Gastritis, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Edward Lively (Reds): Cramps, Day-to-Day
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
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