- The Twins are -150 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: John Brebbia
- Twins starting pitcher: John Ober
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The San Francisco Giants (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-150) on Monday, May 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Giants vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 22-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 25-22 ATS.
Giants vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -105 | +125 |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -115 | -150 |
Giants vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 71.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brett Wisely has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 away games (+7.70 Units / 90% ROI)
- Brett Wisely has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 away games (+7.50 Units / 89% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+7.25 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+14.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.85 Units / 109% ROI)
Twins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Twins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Twins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 games (+9.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 27 games (+4.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+6.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+5.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 22-24 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -6.02% ROI).
- 22-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -12.43% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -8.52% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.7% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 25-22 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 4.37% ROI).
- 25-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -4.95% ROI
- 20-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -12.63% ROI
- 24-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 4.37% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
John Brebbia has struck out 52% (13/25) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (13/43) against John Brebbia this season — 5th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.
John Brebbia has a strikeout rate of 44% (35 SO in 80 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs since last season — tied for 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (11/33) against John Brebbia this season — tied for 8th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 12th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 82% of the time (182/222) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (498/641) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 74% of the time (1,112/1,497) since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (71/244) against Bailey Ober since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Giants are just 1-3 (.250) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Giants are just 14-7 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Giants are 19-19 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Twins are just 5-21 (.192) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Giants hitters have 156 strikeouts in 577 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Twins are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Twins hitters are slugging just .228 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Twins hitters are slugging just .152 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D10
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D15
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Logan Webb (Giants): Back, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
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