When it comes to the Packers, the first person most NFL betting fans think of is Aaron Rodgers. He’s been the leader of the team since taking over as the starting quarterback in 2008.
The Green Bay Packers are a hard team to bet against because of this. Their current Super Bowl odds are +1400. They’re +750 to win the NFC Conference and -225 to win the NFC North.
Since hiring Matt LaFleur as coach in 2019, the team has continued its winning ways. Here are the Packers’ offensive trends since hiring Matt LaFleur.
Let’s take a look at what the Packers have done in the first two full seasons under LaFleur before we get to this season:
- 2019: 44 total touchdowns, 18 rushing touchdowns, 26 touchdown passes
- 2020: 64 total touchdowns, 16 rushing touchdowns, 48 touchdown passes
In both seasons, the Packers finished 13-3 and made it to the NFC Championship game. I would argue that 2019 was a transition year considering it was the first with LaFleur in charge, and the Packers still made a deep playoff run.
By 2020, they hit their stride, and Aaron Rodgers had the most touchdown passes in his career for a single season.
For comparison, in 2018, the Packers had just 39 total touchdowns (25 runs, 14 passes) despite Rodgers playing all 16 games that season. The Packers finished 6-9-1 that season with Mike McCarthy getting fired in the middle of it.
Some will argue part of this success has to do with an improved defense, and it is true that they had a below-average defense before LaFleur took over.
However, the Packers scored the most points in the league last season and had the fifth-most total yards. In 2019, they ranked 15th in total points and 18th in total yards.
Rushing Yards and Total Points
So far, the Packers continue to rely mainly on their passing game. Currently, they rank in the bottom five for rushing yards with just 139.
But, this is not because they do not have a talented running back. Aaron Jones can put up numbers.
In 2019, he had 16 rushing touchdowns. In 2020, he only had nine rushing touchdowns but increased his average rushing yards per game to just under 79 vs. just under 68 in 2019.
How is he doing in 2021? He is doing better as a receiver. Jones has one rushing touchdown and 76 total rushing yards, but he has three touchdown receptions.
The real question is if the Packers only scoring three points in the Week 1 loss against the Saints was a fluke. That was the lowest amount of points this offense has ever scored under LaFleur.
The Packers had only been held to less than 20 points in four games in the last two years. They went 1-3 in those games, and two of the teams that did that to them appeared in the Super Bowl.
So, with the Packers scoring three points one week and 35 points the next week, which do I think is the real version of them? The answer is somewhere in between.
History shows that the Packers will not flop that often and mainly rely on the passing game anyway, so I would expect them to get slightly less than their season-high 35 points now that they are up against a better team.
Make Your Prediction for the Green Bay Packers
Admittedly, going off of the two games that the Packers have played this season can be difficult for predicting their offense. Whether you believe that the Green Bay Packers are more like their Week 1 or Week 2 performance, you can guess which side by participating in the King of the Weekend promo.