Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 25, 2023, 12:01 PM
  • The Warriors are -3.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 245.5 points
  • Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA & BSSE

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies vs Warriors Over/Under is 245.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 22-23 against the spread, while the Warriors are 22-24 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+3.5 -110O 245.5 -110+135
Golden State Warriors -3.5 -110U 245.5 -110-160

Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 60 of their last 92 games (+26.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 64 of their last 92 games (+25.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 61 of their last 92 games (+16.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 59 of their last 91 games (+16.33 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 80 games (+16.19 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+16.28 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+14.62 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 22-23 (-3.3 Units / -6.38% ROI).

  • 31-16 against the Moneyline (+0.95 Units / 0.78% ROI)
  • 22-23 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.38% ROI)
  • 23-22 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 22-24 (-4.4 Units / -8.51% ROI).

  • 23-24 against the Moneyline (-24.9 Units / -22.09% ROI)
  • 27-19 against the Over for game total points (+6.1 Units / 11.8% ROI)
  • 19-27 against the Under for game total points (-10.7 Units / -20.7% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 97 games (-31.65 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-29.18 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 97 games (-24.80 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 93 games (-22.11 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 99 games (-21.01 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 92 games (-38.24 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 80 games (-26.49 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 41 away games (-24.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 46 away games (-23.16 Units / -33% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Memphis Grizzlies are 78-19 (.804) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings have averaged 42.6 rebounds per game (5,415 rebounds/127 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 17-4 (.810) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .472

The Grizzlies are 16-3 (.842) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .515

The Grizzlies are 35-12 (.745) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 25-18 (.581) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Warriors are 26-12 (.684) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

The Warriors are 50-9 (.847) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .781

The Warriors are 63-26 (.708) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578

Injury Report: Warriors vs. GrizzliesWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 25

  • James Wiseman (Warriors): Wiseman is probable for Wednesday’s (Jan. 25) game against Memphis.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala is out for Wednesday’s (Jan. 25) game against Memphis.
  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): Adams will be sidelined three to five weeks after sustaining a PCL sprain in his right knee per Grizzlies PR twitter.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): Green is set to debut for the Grizzlies on Feb. 1 against Portland, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • John Konchar (Grizzlies): Konchar is OUT for Wednesday’s (Jan 25) game against Golden State.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 13.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,776 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.4

The Grizzlies have averaged 12.9 offensive rebounds per game (2,579 rebounds/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 28.3 points in the paint per game (5,654 points/200 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.1

The Grizzlies have averaged 58.2 points in the paint per game (7,450 points/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.2

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 16.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

The Warriors have 20.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.6

The Warriors have 20.3 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.9 blocks per game (439 blocks/64 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (628 blocks/100 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (814 blocks/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,166 steals/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,017 rebounds/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Warriors have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,050 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,527 rebounds/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Warriors have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (181 blocks/47 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.