- The Diamondbacks are -130 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Aaron Civale, 5.58 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner, 2.84 ERA
The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Monday, March 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Guardians vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Guardians are 6-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 10-8 ATS.
Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -185 | O 10 -110 | +110 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | U 10 -110 | -130 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seth Beer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jordan Luplow has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Cooper Hummel has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 150 games (+26.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 away games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 7-10 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -22.84% ROI).
- 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -24.6% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -20.74% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 13.44% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 10-8 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 7.04% ROI).
- 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -1.01% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -4.96% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -2.83% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (47/255) against Aaron Civale on non-fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 61% (647/1,065) in two strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (18/51) versus Aaron Civale on inside fastballs last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 56% (749/1,340) when ahead in the count since the start of the 2021 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fourth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
34 of Madison Bumgarner’s 73 breaking pitch strikeouts (47%) were backdoor last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
65 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of the 2021 season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
34 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
71 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of 2020 — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Guardians are 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Guardians are 14-10 (.583) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 54-17 (.761) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters slugged just .343 against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters had 93 extra-base hits out of 341 total hits (just 27%) against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters missed on just 21% of swings last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Diamondbacks batted just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of just .292 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 42% of their games last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Guardians vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
