- The – are favorites vs the –
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee
- Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Watch the game on WPIX
The Cleveland Guardians () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Saturday, May 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Guardians vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 20-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 17-29 ATS.
Guardians vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | O | ||
| Mets | U |
Guardians vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 75.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 43 games (+22.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 41 games (+14.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 66% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Mets vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mets vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Mets vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Max Scherzer | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 37 games (+16.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+13.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 18-26 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -18.35% ROI).
- 20-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -18.67% ROI
- 15-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.45 Units / -27.85% ROI
- 26-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.75 Units / 20.08% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 17-29 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -23.43% ROI).
- 23-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -17.53% ROI
- 21-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -11.51% ROI
- 24-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 2.1% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .083 (2-for-24) against Tanner Bibee over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd best in AL over the last week; League Avg: .230 — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .120 (25 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd best in AL over the last week; League Avg: .281 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .083 (2-for-24) against Tanner Bibee — 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .232 — 95th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OPS of just .203 (25 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd best in AL over the last week; League Avg: .660 — 98th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (58/204) against Max Scherzer since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (21/48) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (20/77) against Max Scherzer this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Max Scherzer has struck out 32% (115/360) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 94th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Guardians are 22-72 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Guardians are 6-15 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Guardians are 24-26 (.480) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Guardians are 22-51 (.301) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mets are 109-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are just 1-4 (.200) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Mets are 25-17 (.595) after a road loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Mets are just 9-14 (.391) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,013 strikeouts in 5,703 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .344 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .345 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .260 on the road since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .335 (5,435 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mets hitters have just 19 strikeouts in 129 PA’s (15%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .331 (4,225 PA’s) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 21 of 398 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 109 of 1,858 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 553 of 7,668 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 174 of 1,724 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Tomás Nido (Mets): Eye, D10
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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