Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2022, 6:22 PM
  • The Bucks (36-24) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Heat (38-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 2, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSWI & BSSUN

The Miami Heat visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 35-26 against the spread, while the Bucks are 27-35 against the spread.

The Heat vs Bucks Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.


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Heat vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+4.5 -110O 225.5 -110155
Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 -110U 225.5 -110-190

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone:

  • 35-26 against the Spread (+6.3 Units / 9.22% ROI)
  • 41-21 against the Moneyline (+18.75 Units / 13.27% ROI)
  • 37-25 against the Over for game total points (+9.5 Units / 13.93% ROI)
  • 25-37 against the Under for game total points (-15.7 Units / -23.02% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+19.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+13.36 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.82 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 57 games (-18.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 57 games (-16.36 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 57 games (-15.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 44 games (-14.77 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 61 games (-13.05 Units / -20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone:

  • 27-35 against the Spread (-11.5 Units / -16.86% ROI)
  • 37-25 against the Moneyline (-25.5 Units / -11.12% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+16.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 60 games (+14.48 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.54 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 47 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.66 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 games (-32.60 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 59 games (-22.03 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 61 games (-21.33 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 52 games (-16.05 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 58 games (-13.40 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Heat are 27-10 (.730) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Heat are 19-7 (.731) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Heat are 23-8 (.742) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Heat are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Bucks are 38-4 (.905) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .776

The Bucks are 36-17 (.679) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Bucks are 23-10 (.697) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Bucks are 67-14 (.827) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

Injury Report: Bucks vs. Heat - Wednesday's Game, Mar. 02

  • Pat Connaughton (Bucks): Connaughton will undergo surgery and is expected to return before the end of the regular season, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • George Hill (Bucks): Bucks coach Mike Budenholzer said Hill will miss at least another week.
  • Brook Lopez (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Lopez is starting to practice, but is a ways away from returning to action.
  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has yet to be cleared for full-court work, according to David Aldridge of The Athletic.
  • Markieff Morris (Heat): Morris has not played in a few months an no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is out for Monday's (Feb. 28) game against Chicago.
  • Caleb Martin (Heat): The Heat have listed Martin as QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday's game (Mar. 2) against the Bucks.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (579 rebounds/72 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8

The Heat are shooting 37% from three (605/1,617) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Heat have made 605 three-pointers this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Heat attempted 2,606 threes last season — 10th most among NBA teams

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 120.1 points per game (8,649 points/72 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Bucks have made 14.1 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Bucks averaged 59.2 points per game (4,264 points/72 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

The Bucks shot 48% (1,551/3,213) in the second half last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (217 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (436 blocks/117 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat averaged 4.0 blocks per game (286 blocks/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,724 rebounds/72 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.4

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,893 rebounds/132 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3

The Bucks have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,169 rebounds/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.2

The Bucks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (244 blocks/60 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.