Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 2

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2022, 6:36 PM
  • The Bucks (36-24) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Heat (38-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 2, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSWI & BSSUN

The Miami Heat visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 35-26 against the spread, while the Bucks are 27-35 against the spread.

The Heat vs Bucks Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.


Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Bucks vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


Heat vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+4.5 -110O 225.5 -110155
Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 -110U 225.5 -110-190

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone:

  • 35-26 against the Spread (+6.3 Units / 9.22% ROI)
  • 41-21 against the Moneyline (+18.75 Units / 13.27% ROI)
  • 37-25 against the Over for game total points (+9.5 Units / 13.93% ROI)
  • 25-37 against the Under for game total points (-15.7 Units / -23.02% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+19.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+13.36 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.82 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 57 games (-18.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 57 games (-16.36 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 57 games (-15.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 44 games (-14.77 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 61 games (-13.05 Units / -20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone:

  • 27-35 against the Spread (-11.5 Units / -16.86% ROI)
  • 37-25 against the Moneyline (-25.5 Units / -11.12% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+16.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 60 games (+14.48 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.54 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 47 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.66 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 games (-32.60 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 59 games (-22.03 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 61 games (-21.33 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 52 games (-16.05 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 58 games (-13.40 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Heat are 27-10 (.730) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Heat are 19-7 (.731) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Heat are 23-8 (.742) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Heat are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Bucks are 38-4 (.905) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .776

The Bucks are 36-17 (.679) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Bucks are 23-10 (.697) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Bucks are 67-14 (.827) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

Injury Report: Bucks vs. Heat - Wednesday's Game, Mar. 02

  • Pat Connaughton (Bucks): Connaughton will undergo surgery and is expected to return before the end of the regular season, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • George Hill (Bucks): Bucks coach Mike Budenholzer said Hill will miss at least another week.
  • Brook Lopez (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Lopez is starting to practice, but is a ways away from returning to action.
  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has yet to be cleared for full-court work, according to David Aldridge of The Athletic.
  • Markieff Morris (Heat): Morris has not played in a few months an no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is out for Monday's (Feb. 28) game against Chicago.
  • Caleb Martin (Heat): The Heat have listed Martin as QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday's game (Mar. 2) against the Bucks.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (579 rebounds/72 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8

The Heat are shooting 37% from three (605/1,617) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Heat have made 605 three-pointers this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Heat attempted 2,606 threes last season — 10th most among NBA teams

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 120.1 points per game (8,649 points/72 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Bucks have made 14.1 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Bucks averaged 59.2 points per game (4,264 points/72 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

The Bucks shot 48% (1,551/3,213) in the second half last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (217 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (436 blocks/117 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat averaged 4.0 blocks per game (286 blocks/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,724 rebounds/72 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.4

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,893 rebounds/132 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3

The Bucks have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,169 rebounds/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.2

The Bucks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (244 blocks/60 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Bucks vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.