Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics NBA Betting Preview, Lines, Odds, Insights & Trends for May 11, 2021

The Miami Heat (37-31) are just 2-point favorites as they attempt to continue a three-game road win streak when they visit the Boston Celtics (35-33) on Tuesday, May 11, 2021 at TD Garden. The game airs at 7:30 PM ET on NBCS-BOS. The point total for the matchup is set at 222.5.

BetMGM NBA Betting Odds

Heat vs Celtics Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Heat -2 -110 -110 222.5 -110 -110

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Point Total Insights

  • In Miami’s matchups this season, the Heat and their opponents have gone over Tuesday’s point total of 222.5 points 24 times (35.3% of opportunities).
  • In 57.4% of Boston’s games this season (39 of 68), the total points scored was higher than Tuesday’s 222.5-point over/under.
  • The total for the game of 222.5 is 2.0 points more than the combined points per game averages for the Heat (107.6 points per game) and the Celtics (112.9 points per game).
  • This game’s point total is 3.3 fewer points than the 219.2 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2020-21.
  • On average, the over/under in Heat games is 7.0 points fewer than the over/under of 222.5 points in this matchup.
  • Celtics’ games have a total points bet of 224.2 points this season, 1.7 points more than the over/under for this game.

Heat Betting Data

  • Miami has failed to beat the spread more often than not this season, going 29-34.
  • When they play as at least 2-point favorites, the Heat have a record ATS of 18-19.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in only 46% of games (29 out of 63 matchups).

Heat Key Players

  • Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in points and assists. He puts up 21.6 points per game while tacking on 7.2 assists.
  • Miami is led in rebounds by Bam Adebayo’s 9.0 per game.
  • The Heat are led by Duncan Robinson from long distance. He hits 3.5 shots from deep per game.
  • Miami’s blocks leader is Adebayo, who collects 1.0 per game. Butler leads the team averaging 2.1 steals a contest.

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Heat Last 10 Games

Heat Last Five Games
Date Opponent Result Favored Played As Spread Total Heat Moneyline Opponent Moneyline Game Type Covered Over/Under
5/9/2021 Celtics 130-124 MIA Yes Away -8.5 240.5 -5000 1350 Regular Season No Over
5/7/2021 Timberwolves 121-112 MIA Yes Home -9.5 225.5 -750 525 Regular Season No Over
5/4/2021 Mavericks 127-113 DAL No Home +7.5 220.5 375 -500 Regular Season No Over
5/2/2021 Hornets 121-111 MIA Yes Away -8.5 233.5 -500 375 Regular Season Yes Under
5/1/2021 Cavaliers 124-107 MIA Yes Away -13.5 234.5 -2500 1050 Regular Season Yes Under
Heat Last 10 Games
Overall Record ATS Record O/U/P AVG Total AVG Pts Scored AVG Pts Allowed AVG Reb. Margin 3Pt %
7-3 4-6 6-4-0 225.1 114.3 110.8 -2.3 38.1%

Heat Injuries


Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee)

Place a bet on the Miami Heat to win this game with BetMGM online sportsbook.

Celtics Betting Data

  • Boston has a losing record against the spread, going 32-33 ATS (covering just 49.2% of the time).
  • When they are at least 2-point underdogs, the Celtics have fared well, going 16-15 against the spread.
  • Boston has combined with its opponents to hit the over in 56.9% of matchups this season (37 out of 65 chances).

Celtics Key Players

  • Jayson Tatum is at the top of the Celtics scoring leaderboard with 26.3 points per game. He also collects 7.3 rebounds and racks up 4.4 assists per game.
  • The Boston leaders in rebounding and assists are Tristan Thompson with 8.3 rebounds per game (he also adds 7.6 points and 1.3 assists per game) and Marcus Smart with 5.7 assists per game (he also tacks on 13.1 points and 3.5 rebounds per game).
  • Kemba Walker is reliable from three-point range and leads the Celtics with 2.9 made threes per game.
  • Boston’s leader in steals is Smart (1.5 per game), and its leader in blocks is Robert Williams III (1.8 per game).

Place a bet on the Boston Celtics to win this game with BetMGM online sportsbook.

Celtics Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Result Favored Played As Spread Total Celtics Moneyline Opponent Moneyline Game Type Covered Over/Under
5/9/2021 Heat 130-124 MIA No Home +8.5 240.5 1350 -5000 Regular Season Yes Over
5/7/2021 Bulls 121-99 CHI No Away +13.5 222.5 1500 -5000 Regular Season No Under
5/5/2021 Magic 132-96 BOS Yes Away -25.5 217.5 -10000 2200 Regular Season Yes Over
5/2/2021 Trail Blazers 129-119 POR No Home +3.5 252.5 Regular Season No Under
4/30/2021 Spurs 143-140 BOS No Home +8.5 251.5 575 -900 Regular Season Yes Over
Overall Record ATS Record O/U/P AVG Total AVG Pts Scored AVG Pts Allowed AVG Reb. Margin 3Pt %
4-6 5-5 6-4-0 232.5 115.9 116.6 +3.3 39.8%

Celtics Injuries


Jaylen Brown: Out For Season (Wrist),

Robert Williams III: Day To Day (Foot)