- The Knicks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 206.5 points
- Tuesday, May 2, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on TNT
The Miami Heat visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in New York.
The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Heat vs Knicks Over/Under is 207.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 37-51 against the spread, while the Knicks are 49-36 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | +7.5 -115 | O 207.5 -115 | +230 |
New York Knicks | -7.5 -105 | U 207.5 -115 | -275 |
Knicks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Tuesday‘s game with 64.8% confidence.
Knicks vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Knicks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 92 games (+19.87 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+14.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 away games (+14.22 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 97 games (+13.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+12.24 Units / 39% ROI)
Knicks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 55 of their last 87 games (+22.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 87 games (+17.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 65 games (+13.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 61 games (+13.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+11.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 37-51 (-19.1 Units / -19.28% ROI).
- 50-40 against the Moneyline (-3.8 Units / -2.23% ROI)
- 45-44 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -3.43% ROI)
- 44-45 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -5.56% ROI)
New York Knicks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 49-36 (+9.45 Units / 9.76% ROI).
- 51-37 against the Moneyline (+6.05 Units / 4.14% ROI)
- 43-43 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -4.44% ROI)
- 43-43 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -4.44% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Knicks:
- The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-24.75 Units / -27% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 42 games at home (-21.48 Units / -35% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 88 games (-16.74 Units / -17% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 55 games (-13.10 Units / -22% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 88 games (-12.17 Units / -12% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 100 games (-22.70 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 39 of their last 96 games (-21.50 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 97 games (-21.45 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 41 away games (-21.32 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-20.25 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the New York Knicks
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- New York Knicks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- New York Knicks Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks
The Heat are 64-26 (.711) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565
The Heat are 54-8 (.871) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .768
The Heat are 30-7 (.811) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .771
The Heat are 57-14 (.803) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .721
New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Knicks are 24-33 (.421) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452
The Knicks are 1-15 (.062) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .242
The Knicks are 46-33 (.582) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491
The Knicks are 8-19 (.296) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366
Injury Report: Knicks vs. Heat – Tuesday‘s Game, May 2
- Isaiah Roby (Knicks): Roby is dealing with an ankle injury and is ineligible to play in the postseason after signing with New York after Mar. 1.
- Jalen Brunson (Knicks): Brunson is questionable for Tuesday’s (May 2) game against Miami.
- Julius Randle (Knicks): Randle is questionable for Tuesday’s (May 2) game against Miami.
- Jericho Sims (Knicks): Sims underwent surgery and is expected to be ready for the start of training camp, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Haywood Highsmith (Heat): Highsmith is probable for Tuesday’s (May 2) game against New York.
- Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo suffered a torn patellar tendon in his left knee, according to Shams Charania of The Athetic.
- Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is expected to miss about 4-6 weeks, according to Chris Haynes of Turner Sports.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler is questionable for Tuesday’s (May 2) game against New York.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4
The Heat have averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat have averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,508 points/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.4
The Heat have averaged 5.1 fast break points per game (419 points/82 games) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5
New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,441 assists/ 1,549 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,748 assists/ 1,065 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Knicks have averaged 22.4 assists per game (2,646 assists/118 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2
The Knicks have 25.5 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (394 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (794 blocks/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (508 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (527 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Knicks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,740 rebounds/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.9
The Knicks have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (340 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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