Houston vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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Memphis head coach Penny Hardaway yells to his players in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Vanderbilt Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2023, 10:23 AM
  • Houston (28-2) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Memphis (23-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Houston Cougars (28-2) visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Tigers (23-7) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Memphis.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Houston vs. Memphis Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Houston vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Houston-5.5 -105O 144.5 -110-225
Memphis +5.5 -115U 144.5 -110+180

Houston vs Memphis Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Houston will win this game with 62.1% confidence.

Houston vs Memphis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and Memphis, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 47 games (+25.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 away games (+11.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 43 games (+23.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 42 games (+20.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 45 games (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has gone 17-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI).

  • 15-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -5.65% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -4.4% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -4.54% ROI

Memphis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Memphis has gone 13-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 20-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 10.62% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (224 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Houston has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (332 assists/ 224 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Houston has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (949 assists/ 646 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Houston has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (949 assists/ 646 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has averaged 77.0 points per game (4,236 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 71.0

Memphis is shooting 74% from the free throw line (355/478) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Memphis is shooting 48% (638/1,341) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Memphis has attempted 1,194 free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among AAC Teams

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 8.1 steals per game (187 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Houston has 492 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among AAC Teams

Houston has averaged 8.1 steals per game (187 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Houston has averaged 8.1 steals per game (492 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has averaged 8.6 steals per game (475 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Memphis has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,464 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Memphis has averaged 9.0 steals per game (198 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Memphis has averaged 8.6 steals per game (475 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.