- Nebraska is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Illinois
- Illinois vs. Nebraska Total(Over/Under): 42.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Illinois Fighting Illini (3-0) visit Tom Osborne Field at Memorial Stadium to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-0) on Sep. 20 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Illinois vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Illinois vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Illinois | +8.5 -115 | 42.5 -105 | +270 |
| Nebraska | -8.5 -105 | 42.5 -115 | -350 |
Illinois vs Nebraska Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 74.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Nebraska, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Illinois vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nebraska will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+4.25 Units / 142% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Nebraska Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 3% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Illinois Player Prop Bets Today
- Pat Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Luke Altmyer has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luke Altmyer has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.65 Units / 165% ROI)
- Kaden Feagin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Luke Altmyer has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nebraska players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nebraska Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Thomas Fidone II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Alex Bullock has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Emmett Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Heinrich Haarberg has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Malachi Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 60.61% ROI).
- Illinois is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 17.89% ROI
- Illinois is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Illinois is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nebraska is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Nebraska is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 5.35% ROI
- Nebraska is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Nebraska is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska
Illinois is 4-1 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .524
Illinois is 2-1 (.667) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2022 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .439
Illinois is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .567
Illinois is 11-2 (.733) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .617
Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois
Nebraska is winless (0-4) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .391
Nebraska is 5-2 (.625) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .526
Nebraska is winless (0-3) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .355
Nebraska is winless (0-3) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .374
Matchup Notes for Illinois vs. Nebraska
Nebraska’s TEs has gained 64 yards on 8 receptions (just 8.0 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Nebraska’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Nebraska has gained 731 yards on 66 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs has gained 39 yards on 3 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Illinois’s offense has averaged 1.9 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 1.1 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Illinois’s TEs has gained 39 yards on 3 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 6.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Illinois’s offense has averaged 1.9 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 1.1 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois has 316 receptions in 15 games (21.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends
Nebraska QBs have fumbled 8 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Nebraska’s TEs has gained 64 yards on 8 receptions (just 8.0 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Nebraska RBs have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Nebraska QBs have fumbled 6 times in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Nebraska’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 88 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%.
Illinois has 6 interceptions this season– T-4th-most in FBS
Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (48 completions/104 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 59%
Illinois has allowed first downs on 23% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11%
Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (54 completions/124 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends
Nebraska has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5
Nebraska has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 461 carries (51.2 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 24.7
Nebraska has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.0
Nebraska has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5
Nebraska has tackled opponents for a loss on 86 of 461 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.
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