Illinois vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 26, 2023, 10:03 AM
  • Illinois (19-9) is a Illinois -4.5 point favorite vs Ohio State (11-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Illinois Fighting Illini (19-9) visit Value City Arena to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (11-17) on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Columbus.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Illinois vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois-4.5 -115O 145.5 -115-200
Ohio State +4.5 -105U 145.5 -105+165

Illinois vs Ohio State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 57.8% confidence.

Illinois vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Ohio State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ohio State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has gone 17-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI).

  • 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -6.54% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI

Ohio State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio State has gone 8-20 against the spread this college basketball season (-14 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • 5-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.35 Units / -68.98% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 2.11% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.38% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (296 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (153 assists/ 153 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (139 assists/ 123 TOs) in the second half this season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Ohio State is shooting 38% from three (154/407) this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ohio State is shooting 75% from the free throw line (713/956) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Ohio State is shooting 49% (863/1,754) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (3,611 points/3,248 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,868 points/1,589 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (699 points/612 shots) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (2,156 points/2,010 shots) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.11

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (540/1,313) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (144/477) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Ohio State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,653 points/3,173 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Ohio State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,653 points/3,173 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.16


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.