Illinois vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2023, 12:13 PM
  • Illinois (17-7) are -3.5 point favorites vs Penn State (14-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Illinois Fighting Illini (17-7) visit Bryce Jordan Center to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (14-11) on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in University Park.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Illinois vs. Penn State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois-3.5 -105O 140.5 -115-160
Penn State +3.5 -115U 140.5 -105+135

Illinois vs Penn State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 56.2% confidence.

Illinois vs Penn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+4.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+4.20 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+7.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has gone 16-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.15 Units / 27.03% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -7.3% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has gone 15-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+4 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 4.94% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (296 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (296 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (323 assists/ 190 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Penn State has averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (190 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Penn State has made 236 three-pointers this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has a 19% free throw rate (238 free throw attempts/1,281 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,868 points/1,589 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,322/3,248) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (506/1,271) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 42%

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (275 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Penn State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Penn State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (168 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Penn State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (107 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.