- Purdue (25-5) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Illinois (20-10)
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Illinois Fighting Illini (20-10) visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (25-5) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 12:30pm EST in West Lafayette.
Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Illinois vs. Purdue Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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Illinois vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Illinois | +7.5 -115 | O 139.5 -110 | +275 |
| Purdue | -7.5 -105 | U 139.5 -110 | -350 |
Illinois vs Purdue Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 66.7% confidence.
Illinois vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Illinois Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Purdue Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 49 games (+20.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 games (+13.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois has gone 17-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI).
- 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI
- 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI
Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Purdue has gone 11-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.8 Units / 0% ROI).
- 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 5.53% ROI
- 12-18 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI
- 18-12 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4
Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4
Illinois is shooting 32% from three (179/564) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (153 assists/ 153 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:
Purdue is shooting 48% (566/1,177) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Purdue has averaged 1.33 points per shot (1,564 points/1,177 shots) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19
Purdue has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,639 points/3,379 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Purdue has averaged 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (286 rebounds/23 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,393 points/1,271 shots) this season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.13
Illinois has allowed 63.3 points per game (1,393 points/22 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 65.7
Illinois has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (2,156 points/2,010 shots) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.11
Illinois has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,515 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,387 points/1,338 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.13
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,387 points/1,338 shots) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Purdue has allowed 60.3 points per game (1,387 points/23 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Purdue has forced 10.3 turnovers per game (236 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8
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