Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2023, 12:33 PM
  • Michigan State is a -3.5 point favorite vs Indiana
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The #17 Indiana Hoosiers (19-8) visit Jack Breslin Students Events Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans (16-10) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in East Lansing.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Indiana vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Indiana vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Indiana+3.5 -115 O 136.5 -110+135
Michigan State -3.5 -105U 136.5 -110-160

Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this game with 57.1% confidence.

Indiana vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Indiana and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+14.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)

Indiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana has gone 12-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 6.64% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has gone 13-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 7.96% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana is shooting 50% (647/1,301) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Indiana has averaged 1.47 points per shot (896 points/611 shots) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.31

Indiana has 374 assists on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Indiana is shooting 50% (647/1,301) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (415/1,097) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (153/404) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (215/563) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (329 assists/ 243 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Indiana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,573 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Indiana has averaged 5.6 steals per game (321 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Indiana has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (529/1,304) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Indiana has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,322/3,308) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has forced 10.1 turnovers per game (587 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Michigan State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (110 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (233/817) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (399/1,278) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.