If you’re looking for the best NFL spreads this week, there are some great options. However, to get the most value from your bets, you might want to get your picks in before the weekend.
When looking at the NFL betting lines in Week 13, here are the point spreads that I think are the most interesting for bettors.
New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys (-6.5)
Coming off a tough overtime loss at home against the Las Vegas Raiders last week, Dallas is favored by 4.5 points in Week 13 on the road to play the New Orleans Saints.
This week, the Cowboys will be without head coach Mike McCarthy, who tested positive for COVID-19. However, they should be getting Amari Cooper back after he missed two games when he tested positive for the virus.
Dak Prescott has seemingly returned to normalcy after his calf injury, throwing for 375 yards and two touchdowns against the Raiders.
The Raiders put up 27 points against the Cowboys in the first three quarters, leaving Dallas in a hole for most of the matchup and forcing them to abandon their running game.
Dallas has the 7th best rushing attack in the NFL, averaging 127.5 yards per game. New Orleans has the third-best rushing defense, making this an exciting matchup. However, I believe that the difference in this game will be the Cowboys’ passing attack. They are the third-best passing team in the NFL, and the Saints are in the bottom half of the league in passing yards allowed (251.8).
I like the Cowboys to cover here because of their passing attack.
Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals (-7.5)
Next, the Cardinals are favored by 7.5 points on the road against the Chicago Bears. Arizona will be coming off a bye week they desperately needed to get healthy. Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins could be back in the lineup this week.
Depending on Murray and Hopkins’ health, the line could move a bit in either direction by kickoff time on Sunday afternoon.
Arizona is the 6th best scoring offense in the NFL, while Chicago is 29th. However, the Cardinals have averaged only 21 points per game in their last three matchups. If the line drops to -6.5, I’d be a little more comfortable taking that spread instead. Even though the Bears will have a hard time scoring, they have the 8th best passing defense, so they could keep the game somewhat close. At -6.5, I’d take the spread. At -7.5, I’m only taking the spread once Murray and Hopkins’ are both confirmed to play.
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots (+3)
The New England Patriots have won six in a row. After covering in each of those matchups, they are 8-4 ATS this season. They’ve also averaged 35 points per contest during that span. They opened as a three-point underdog on the road against the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. That line dropped to +2.5 for the Pats but is now back at +3.
It doesn’t get any more interesting than this. These two teams have exchanged places in the AFC East, and their Week 13 matchup could determine the top seed in the conference.
I feel confident in sticking with Bill Belichick in December, so I’ll take the Pats. They have the 3rd best passing defense in the NFL, and I believe that they can limit Buffalo’s ability to hit big plays through the air.
New England on a six-game winning streak and as the underdog? I’ll take those odds.
NFL Spreads in Week 13
How about you? Do you see any more interesting NFL spreads in Week 13? Do you believe that the teams listed above can cover?
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