Collin Larsh’s 29-yard field goal extended Wisconsin’s lead to eight points, 24-16, over Iowa with three minutes remaining in their game on Nov. 9, 2019. It also cashed tickets for bettors who took the over of 37 points.
That was the seventh college football game since 2015 with an over/under total of exactly 37 points. The under was 4-3 in those games.
Over that same time, there have been five games with a total of 36.5 points. The under is 4-1 in those games. And in all games with a total of 36.5 or lower since 2015, the under is 9-2:
|2020||Army vs. Navy||36||15|
|2019||Cal at Utah||36.5||35|
|2019||Iowa at Northwestern||35.5||20|
|2019||Michigan State at Northwestern||35||41|
|2019||Weber State at San Diego State||36.5||6|
|2016||Tulane at UConn||35.6||51|
|2016||Boston College at Wake Forest||34.5||31|
|2016||UConn at Boston College||36||30|
|2015||Virginia Tech at Boston College||36.5||36|
|2015||Missouri at Vanderbilt||34||13|
|2015||Wake Forest at Boston College||35.5||3|
Two years after the over hit on 37 points in Wisconsin’s eventual 24-22 win, the Badgers and Hawkeyes will meet at Camp Randall in Week 9. The total at BetMGM, as of Wednesday, Oct. 27, is 36.5.
If the total drops to 36, it would be just the seventh game at 36 or below in the last seven years. And when the under hit – as it did in six of seven games – it did so by a staggering average of 16.6 points. Most recently, in the Army-Navy game last year, the under hit by three full touchdowns.