What History Says About the Laughably Low Over/Under Total for Iowa-Wisconsin

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Wisconsin Iowa
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Andrew Doughty @DoughtyBetMGM Oct 27, 2021, 10:22 PM

Collin Larsh’s 29-yard field goal extended Wisconsin’s lead to eight points, 24-16, over Iowa with three minutes remaining in their game on Nov. 9, 2019. It also cashed tickets for bettors who took the over of 37 points.

That was the seventh college football game since 2015 with an over/under total of exactly 37 points. The under was 4-3 in those games.

Over that same time, there have been five games with a total of 36.5 points. The under is 4-1 in those games. And in all games with a total of 36.5 or lower since 2015, the under is 9-2:

YearMatchupTotalFinal Points
2020Army vs. Navy3615
2019Cal at Utah36.535
2019Iowa at Northwestern35.520
2019Michigan State at Northwestern3541
2019Weber State at San Diego State36.56
2016Tulane at UConn35.651
2016Boston College at Wake Forest34.531
2016UConn at Boston College3630
2015Virginia Tech at Boston College36.536
2015Missouri at Vanderbilt3413
2015Wake Forest at Boston College35.53

Two years after the over hit on 37 points in Wisconsin’s eventual 24-22 win, the Badgers and Hawkeyes will meet at Camp Randall in Week 9. The total at BetMGM, as of Wednesday, Oct. 27, is 36.5.

If the total drops to 36, it would be just the seventh game at 36 or below in the last seven years. And when the under hit – as it did in six of seven games – it did so by a staggering average of 16.6 points. Most recently, in the Army-Navy game last year, the under hit by three full touchdowns.

You can view updated college football odds for Wisconsin-Iowa and other Week 9 games at the BetMGM sportsbook.

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About the Author

Andrew Doughty

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Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM with a focus on college football, NFL, college basketball, and NASCAR. A graduate of the University of Kansas, he previously wrote for Sports Illustrated and HERO Sports.

Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM with a focus on college football, NFL, college basketball, and NASCAR. A graduate of the University of Kansas, he previously wrote for Sports Illustrated and HERO Sports.