Jackson State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:45 AM
  • Jackson State (12-18) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State (5-26)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points

The Jackson State Tigers (12-18) visit Harrison HPER Complex to take on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (5-26) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Itta Bena.

Jackson State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Jackson State vs. Mississippi Valley State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Jackson State vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jackson State-3.5 -110O 137.5 -110-165
Mississippi Valley State +3.5 -110U 137.5 -110+140

Jackson State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Jackson State will win this game with 57.0% confidence.

Jackson State vs Mississippi Valley State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jackson State will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Jackson State and Mississippi Valley State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Jackson State has hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jackson State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jackson State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jackson State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jackson State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+5.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+4.40 Units / 49% ROI)

Jackson State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Jackson State has gone 17-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 5.06% ROI
  • 11-19 when betting the Over for -9.95 Units / -30.11% ROI
  • 19-11 when betting the Under for +6.9 Units / 20.94% ROI

Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi Valley State has gone 20-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.9 Units / 23.17% ROI).

  • 5-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -7.5% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -1.03% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.32% ROI

Jackson State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Jackson State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (267 assists/ 343 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Jackson State has 17.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 19.0

Jackson State has averaged 1.09 points per shot (3,277 points/3,002 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 1.15

Jackson State has a 30% free throw rate (388 free throw attempts/1,300 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has made 4.3 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Mississippi Valley State has a TS% of 41% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 57.9 points per game (1,332 points/23 games) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (206 assists/ 361 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Jackson State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Jackson State has averaged 7.5 steals per game (164 steals/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Jackson State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (347 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Jackson State has allowed an average of 1.36 points per shot (1,679 points/1,232 shots) this season — 2nd highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.29

Jackson State has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (582/1,232) this season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.9 defensive rebounds per game (481 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.9 defensive rebounds per game (481 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 7.8 steals per game (179 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,060 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.